**Recent revelations of alleged ties between STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes and a disgraced banker have triggered dozens of new impeachment petitions, bringing the total pending in the Senate to 109.** Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any requests, citing procedural reviews and internal STF handling of mutual accusations between justices. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through impeachment, which requires a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81) after Senate leadership and committee filters. Lula-aligned majorities in Congress continue to block opposition efforts, while the court itself weighs internal investigations ahead of the October 2026 elections. These institutional and political barriers sustain trader consensus that no removal will occur before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
$87,623 Vol.
$87,623 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$87,623 Vol.
$87,623 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent revelations of alleged ties between STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes and a disgraced banker have triggered dozens of new impeachment petitions, bringing the total pending in the Senate to 109.** Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any requests, citing procedural reviews and internal STF handling of mutual accusations between justices. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through impeachment, which requires a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81) after Senate leadership and committee filters. Lula-aligned majorities in Congress continue to block opposition efforts, while the court itself weighs internal investigations ahead of the October 2026 elections. These institutional and political barriers sustain trader consensus that no removal will occur before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$87,623End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent revelations of alleged ties between STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes and a disgraced banker have triggered dozens of new impeachment petitions, bringing the total pending in the Senate to 109.** Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any requests, citing procedural reviews and internal STF handling of mutual accusations between justices. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through impeachment, which requires a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81) after Senate leadership and committee filters. Lula-aligned majorities in Congress continue to block opposition efforts, while the court itself weighs internal investigations ahead of the October 2026 elections. These institutional and political barriers sustain trader consensus that no removal will occur before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$87,623End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent revelations of alleged ties between STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes and a disgraced banker have triggered dozens of new impeachment petitions, bringing the total pending in the Senate to 109.** Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any requests, citing procedural reviews and internal STF handling of mutual accusations between justices. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through impeachment, which requires a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81) after Senate leadership and committee filters. Lula-aligned majorities in Congress continue to block opposition efforts, while the court itself weighs internal investigations ahead of the October 2026 elections. These institutional and political barriers sustain trader consensus that no removal will occur before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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