Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 76% implied probability for The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year, driven by its confirmed November 19 release date, record pre-order momentum, and August Netflix extended look that reinforced launch confidence just ahead of eligibility. Rockstar’s open-world pedigree and the game’s late-year positioning give it a clear edge over earlier 2026 standouts. Resident Evil Requiem sits second at 11% on the strength of its February launch, critical reception, and ongoing DLC support, while titles like Control Resonant, Marvel’s Wolverine, and Onimusha: Way of the Sword trade in the low single digits amid a crowded field with no decisive precursor consensus yet. Nominations are expected in mid-November ahead of the December 10 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI 76%
Resident Evil Requiem 11%
The Duskbloods 3.7%
Control Resonant 2.8%
$34,041 Vol.
$34,041 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
76%
Resident Evil Requiem
11%
The Duskbloods
4%
Control Resonant
3%
Marvel's Wolverine
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Phantom Blade Zero
1%
Exodus
1%
Pragmata
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
007 First Light
1%
Gears of War: E-Day
1%
Crimson Desert
1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Fable
<1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Marathon
<1%
Stranger Than Heaven
<1%
Forza Horizon 6
<1%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
<1%
Saros
<1%
Cairn
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 76%
Resident Evil Requiem 11%
The Duskbloods 3.7%
Control Resonant 2.8%
$34,041 Vol.
$34,041 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
76%
Resident Evil Requiem
11%
The Duskbloods
4%
Control Resonant
3%
Marvel's Wolverine
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Phantom Blade Zero
1%
Exodus
1%
Pragmata
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
007 First Light
1%
Gears of War: E-Day
1%
Crimson Desert
1%
Esoteric Ebb
<1%
Fable
<1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Marathon
<1%
Stranger Than Heaven
<1%
Forza Horizon 6
<1%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
<1%
Saros
<1%
Cairn
<1%
Nioh 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI holds a commanding 76% implied probability for The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year, driven by its confirmed November 19 release date, record pre-order momentum, and August Netflix extended look that reinforced launch confidence just ahead of eligibility. Rockstar’s open-world pedigree and the game’s late-year positioning give it a clear edge over earlier 2026 standouts. Resident Evil Requiem sits second at 11% on the strength of its February launch, critical reception, and ongoing DLC support, while titles like Control Resonant, Marvel’s Wolverine, and Onimusha: Way of the Sword trade in the low single digits amid a crowded field with no decisive precursor consensus yet. Nominations are expected in mid-November ahead of the December 10 ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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