Recent pre-election polls consistently placed the BSW near or below the 5% threshold in Sachsen-Anhalt, with figures around 4% in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap through early September. This positioning reflects competition from established parties amid an AfD surge to over 40%, CDU losses exceeding 15 points from 2021, and a fragmented opposition including Die Linke and the Greens. Internal BSW tensions, including regional disputes over strategy and leadership, along with roughly one-quarter of voters undecided until late, have contributed to the tight range. Live Hochrechnungen on election day showed the BSW at 4.8-5.0%, keeping the final certified share uncertain and aligning trader consensus with the 3-5% and 5-7% brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
3-5% 50%
5-7% 42%
<3% <1%
7%+ <1%
$24,429 Vol.
$24,429 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
1%
3-5%
58%
5-7%
42%
7%+
<1%
3-5% 50%
5-7% 42%
<3% <1%
7%+ <1%
$24,429 Vol.
$24,429 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$14,333 Vol.
1%
3-5%
$3,504 Vol.
58%
5-7%
$4,108 Vol.
42%
7%+
$2,484 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent pre-election polls consistently placed the BSW near or below the 5% threshold in Sachsen-Anhalt, with figures around 4% in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap through early September. This positioning reflects competition from established parties amid an AfD surge to over 40%, CDU losses exceeding 15 points from 2021, and a fragmented opposition including Die Linke and the Greens. Internal BSW tensions, including regional disputes over strategy and leadership, along with roughly one-quarter of voters undecided until late, have contributed to the tight range. Live Hochrechnungen on election day showed the BSW at 4.8-5.0%, keeping the final certified share uncertain and aligning trader consensus with the 3-5% and 5-7% brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$24,429End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent pre-election polls consistently placed the BSW near or below the 5% threshold in Sachsen-Anhalt, with figures around 4% in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap through early September. This positioning reflects competition from established parties amid an AfD surge to over 40%, CDU losses exceeding 15 points from 2021, and a fragmented opposition including Die Linke and the Greens. Internal BSW tensions, including regional disputes over strategy and leadership, along with roughly one-quarter of voters undecided until late, have contributed to the tight range. Live Hochrechnungen on election day showed the BSW at 4.8-5.0%, keeping the final certified share uncertain and aligning trader consensus with the 3-5% and 5-7% brackets.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$24,429End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent pre-election polls consistently placed the BSW near or below the 5% threshold in Sachsen-Anhalt, with figures around 4% in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap through early September. This positioning reflects competition from established parties amid an AfD surge to over 40%, CDU losses exceeding 15 points from 2021, and a fragmented opposition including Die Linke and the Greens. Internal BSW tensions, including regional disputes over strategy and leadership, along with roughly one-quarter of voters undecided until late, have contributed to the tight range. Live Hochrechnungen on election day showed the BSW at 4.8-5.0%, keeping the final certified share uncertain and aligning trader consensus with the 3-5% and 5-7% brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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