Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holds the strongest position in the race for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by consistent leads in recent polls such as Quaest (17% consolidated) and Real Time Big Data (19%). Multiple candidates including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho remain competitive within margins of error, with high undecided and blank responses (20–26%) keeping the field fragmented. The state’s two-seat, single-round system and strong PL-aligned support among voters sustain Máximo’s edge in trader pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter the ordering before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 57%
Sílvia Cristina 32%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 12.7%
Mariana Carvalho 2.0%
$33,774 Vol.
$33,774 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
57%
Sílvia Cristina
32%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
8%
Mariana Carvalho
2%
Luis Fernando
1%
Luciana Oliveira
<1%
Neidinha
<1%
Engenheiro Thulio
<1%
Acir Gurgacz
<1%
Aires Mota
<1%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 57%
Sílvia Cristina 32%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 12.7%
Mariana Carvalho 2.0%
$33,774 Vol.
$33,774 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$14,684 Vol.
57%
Sílvia Cristina
$14,860 Vol.
32%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$650 Vol.
8%
Mariana Carvalho
$475 Vol.
2%
Luis Fernando
$432 Vol.
1%
Luciana Oliveira
$545 Vol.
<1%
Neidinha
$709 Vol.
<1%
Engenheiro Thulio
$525 Vol.
<1%
Acir Gurgacz
$485 Vol.
<1%
Aires Mota
$410 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holds the strongest position in the race for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by consistent leads in recent polls such as Quaest (17% consolidated) and Real Time Big Data (19%). Multiple candidates including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho remain competitive within margins of error, with high undecided and blank responses (20–26%) keeping the field fragmented. The state’s two-seat, single-round system and strong PL-aligned support among voters sustain Máximo’s edge in trader pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter the ordering before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$33,774End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holds the strongest position in the race for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by consistent leads in recent polls such as Quaest (17% consolidated) and Real Time Big Data (19%). Multiple candidates including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho remain competitive within margins of error, with high undecided and blank responses (20–26%) keeping the field fragmented. The state’s two-seat, single-round system and strong PL-aligned support among voters sustain Máximo’s edge in trader pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter the ordering before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,774End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holds the strongest position in the race for first place in Rondônia’s October 4, 2026, Senate election, backed by consistent leads in recent polls such as Quaest (17% consolidated) and Real Time Big Data (19%). Multiple candidates including Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho remain competitive within margins of error, with high undecided and blank responses (20–26%) keeping the field fragmented. The state’s two-seat, single-round system and strong PL-aligned support among voters sustain Máximo’s edge in trader pricing, though late shifts in turnout or alliances could still alter the ordering before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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