Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 63.5% as his Parti Québécois maintains a polling edge of roughly 29% heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, outpacing the CAQ and Liberals among francophone voters. Christine Fréchette sits at 20.6% following her April leadership win and brief premiership, with recent surveys showing the CAQ narrowing the gap on issues such as health care, daycare expansion, and U.S. trade pressures. Charles Milliard trails at 4.9% amid Liberal declines. Key campaign dynamics include Plamondon’s pledge to pursue sovereignty via referendum after 2029, ongoing debates over federal involvement, and seat-projection models that favor the PQ forming the next government despite a fragmented field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 64%
Christine Fréchette 22.3%
Charles Milliard 4.7%
Sol Zanetti <1%
$303,608 Vol.
$303,608 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
64%
Christine Fréchette
22%
Charles Milliard
5%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 64%
Christine Fréchette 22.3%
Charles Milliard 4.7%
Sol Zanetti <1%
$303,608 Vol.
$303,608 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
$20,508 Vol.
64%
Christine Fréchette
$65,106 Vol.
22%
Charles Milliard
$17,998 Vol.
5%
Sol Zanetti
$52,727 Vol.
<1%
Bernard Drainville
$61,017 Vol.
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
$36,738 Vol.
<1%
Éric Duhaime
$49,514 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 63.5% as his Parti Québécois maintains a polling edge of roughly 29% heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, outpacing the CAQ and Liberals among francophone voters. Christine Fréchette sits at 20.6% following her April leadership win and brief premiership, with recent surveys showing the CAQ narrowing the gap on issues such as health care, daycare expansion, and U.S. trade pressures. Charles Milliard trails at 4.9% amid Liberal declines. Key campaign dynamics include Plamondon’s pledge to pursue sovereignty via referendum after 2029, ongoing debates over federal involvement, and seat-projection models that favor the PQ forming the next government despite a fragmented field.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$303,608End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 63.5% as his Parti Québécois maintains a polling edge of roughly 29% heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, outpacing the CAQ and Liberals among francophone voters. Christine Fréchette sits at 20.6% following her April leadership win and brief premiership, with recent surveys showing the CAQ narrowing the gap on issues such as health care, daycare expansion, and U.S. trade pressures. Charles Milliard trails at 4.9% amid Liberal declines. Key campaign dynamics include Plamondon’s pledge to pursue sovereignty via referendum after 2029, ongoing debates over federal involvement, and seat-projection models that favor the PQ forming the next government despite a fragmented field.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$303,608End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 63.5% as his Parti Québécois maintains a polling edge of roughly 29% heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec election, outpacing the CAQ and Liberals among francophone voters. Christine Fréchette sits at 20.6% following her April leadership win and brief premiership, with recent surveys showing the CAQ narrowing the gap on issues such as health care, daycare expansion, and U.S. trade pressures. Charles Milliard trails at 4.9% amid Liberal declines. Key campaign dynamics include Plamondon’s pledge to pursue sovereignty via referendum after 2029, ongoing debates over federal involvement, and seat-projection models that favor the PQ forming the next government despite a fragmented field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions