**Persistent rain and cloud cover across northern Taiwan have kept overnight temperatures in Taipei from falling sharply on September 6, with official forecasts and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 22°C.** High humidity near 95% and steady precipitation have limited radiational cooling, while light variable winds have prevented significant advection of cooler air. Central Weather Administration guidance and global model runs align on lows of 23–24°C early in the period shifting toward 22°C as showers continue, placing 22°C as the clear market favorite at 86% implied probability. Minor downward revisions in some short-range guidance have reinforced trader positioning, though any late-evening clearing could allow a brief dip toward 21°C. Updated CWA bulletins and hourly observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on September 6?
22°C 99%
21°C 15%
20°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$1,795 Vol.
$1,795 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
15%
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99%
21°C 15%
20°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$1,795 Vol.
$1,795 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$60 Vol.
1%
21°C
$162 Vol.
15%
22°C
$265 Vol.
99%
23°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover across northern Taiwan have kept overnight temperatures in Taipei from falling sharply on September 6, with official forecasts and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 22°C.** High humidity near 95% and steady precipitation have limited radiational cooling, while light variable winds have prevented significant advection of cooler air. Central Weather Administration guidance and global model runs align on lows of 23–24°C early in the period shifting toward 22°C as showers continue, placing 22°C as the clear market favorite at 86% implied probability. Minor downward revisions in some short-range guidance have reinforced trader positioning, though any late-evening clearing could allow a brief dip toward 21°C. Updated CWA bulletins and hourly observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,795End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and cloud cover across northern Taiwan have kept overnight temperatures in Taipei from falling sharply on September 6, with official forecasts and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 22°C.** High humidity near 95% and steady precipitation have limited radiational cooling, while light variable winds have prevented significant advection of cooler air. Central Weather Administration guidance and global model runs align on lows of 23–24°C early in the period shifting toward 22°C as showers continue, placing 22°C as the clear market favorite at 86% implied probability. Minor downward revisions in some short-range guidance have reinforced trader positioning, though any late-evening clearing could allow a brief dip toward 21°C. Updated CWA bulletins and hourly observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,795End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and cloud cover across northern Taiwan have kept overnight temperatures in Taipei from falling sharply on September 6, with official forecasts and ensemble models converging on a minimum near 22°C.** High humidity near 95% and steady precipitation have limited radiational cooling, while light variable winds have prevented significant advection of cooler air. Central Weather Administration guidance and global model runs align on lows of 23–24°C early in the period shifting toward 22°C as showers continue, placing 22°C as the clear market favorite at 86% implied probability. Minor downward revisions in some short-range guidance have reinforced trader positioning, though any late-evening clearing could allow a brief dip toward 21°C. Updated CWA bulletins and hourly observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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