Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 6, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 23–24°C and the typical September nocturnal drop of 6–8°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects high confidence in these model outputs and historical analogs for early autumn nights. A realistic shift toward 19°C could occur only with stronger radiative cooling or a slight wind veer, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
20°C 99.3%
19°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$11,352 Vol.
$11,352 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.3%
19°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$11,352 Vol.
$11,352 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
$74 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$160 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$711 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,323 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,639 Vol.
99%
21°C
$5,573 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 6, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 23–24°C and the typical September nocturnal drop of 6–8°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects high confidence in these model outputs and historical analogs for early autumn nights. A realistic shift toward 19°C could occur only with stronger radiative cooling or a slight wind veer, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,352End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 6, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 23–24°C and the typical September nocturnal drop of 6–8°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects high confidence in these model outputs and historical analogs for early autumn nights. A realistic shift toward 19°C could occur only with stronger radiative cooling or a slight wind veer, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,352End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models such as GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 6, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and dew points around 17–18°C that limit further cooling. This aligns with observed evening temperatures near 23–24°C and the typical September nocturnal drop of 6–8°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects high confidence in these model outputs and historical analogs for early autumn nights. A realistic shift toward 19°C could occur only with stronger radiative cooling or a slight wind veer, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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