North Korea's ruling Workers' Party revisions, detailed in early September 2026 reports from South Korean analysts and based on the February party congress, have further centralized authority around Kim Jong Un as general secretary, granting explicit powers over appointments, expulsions, and key bodies while institutionalizing a "Kim Jong Un era 2.0." This aligns with his sustained public activities, military prioritization, and diplomatic positioning with Russia, China, and the United States, which have bolstered regime stability and reduced isolation. Succession discussions center on his daughter as a potential long-term heir rather than any imminent leadership vacuum. Trader consensus at 96.3% against removal by December 31, 2026, reflects the absence of verifiable internal challenges or health crises in recent months. Sudden medical events or elite fractures remain the primary low-probability factors that could alter this outlook before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$194,848 Vol.
$194,848 Vol.
$194,848 Vol.
$194,848 Vol.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea's ruling Workers' Party revisions, detailed in early September 2026 reports from South Korean analysts and based on the February party congress, have further centralized authority around Kim Jong Un as general secretary, granting explicit powers over appointments, expulsions, and key bodies while institutionalizing a "Kim Jong Un era 2.0." This aligns with his sustained public activities, military prioritization, and diplomatic positioning with Russia, China, and the United States, which have bolstered regime stability and reduced isolation. Succession discussions center on his daughter as a potential long-term heir rather than any imminent leadership vacuum. Trader consensus at 96.3% against removal by December 31, 2026, reflects the absence of verifiable internal challenges or health crises in recent months. Sudden medical events or elite fractures remain the primary low-probability factors that could alter this outlook before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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