**Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister, with the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2029.** Traders assign a 94.3% implied probability that he will not leave by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, party mechanisms, or credible political pressure for an early exit. The NDA coalition government, led by the BJP, continues routine governance, including infrastructure reviews, international diplomacy, and domestic policy implementation, with Modi actively participating in events through September 2026. In June 2026, he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister, prompting a unanimous cabinet resolution affirming support for his leadership and "Viksit Bharat" agenda. Isolated developments, such as July 2026 student protests that prompted an education minister's resignation and debunked social-media claims of Modi's own resignation, produced no broader challenge to his position. Cabinet adjustments and state-level electoral preparations remain standard internal processes without signs of instability. With no snap-election provisions active and Modi's party holding the largest bloc in parliament, the consensus centers on continuity through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$250,559 Vol.
$250,559 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
6% chance
$250,559 Vol.
$250,559 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister, with the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2029.** Traders assign a 94.3% implied probability that he will not leave by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, party mechanisms, or credible political pressure for an early exit.
The NDA coalition government, led by the BJP, continues routine governance, including infrastructure reviews, international diplomacy, and domestic policy implementation, with Modi actively participating in events through September 2026. In June 2026, he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister, prompting a unanimous cabinet resolution affirming support for his leadership and "Viksit Bharat" agenda. Isolated developments, such as July 2026 student protests that prompted an education minister's resignation and debunked social-media claims of Modi's own resignation, produced no broader challenge to his position. Cabinet adjustments and state-level electoral preparations remain standard internal processes without signs of instability. With no snap-election provisions active and Modi's party holding the largest bloc in parliament, the consensus centers on continuity through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$250,559End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister, with the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2029.** Traders assign a 94.3% implied probability that he will not leave by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, party mechanisms, or credible political pressure for an early exit.
The NDA coalition government, led by the BJP, continues routine governance, including infrastructure reviews, international diplomacy, and domestic policy implementation, with Modi actively participating in events through September 2026. In June 2026, he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister, prompting a unanimous cabinet resolution affirming support for his leadership and "Viksit Bharat" agenda. Isolated developments, such as July 2026 student protests that prompted an education minister's resignation and debunked social-media claims of Modi's own resignation, produced no broader challenge to his position. Cabinet adjustments and state-level electoral preparations remain standard internal processes without signs of instability. With no snap-election provisions active and Modi's party holding the largest bloc in parliament, the consensus centers on continuity through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$250,559End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Narendra Modi remains firmly in office as India's prime minister, with the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2029.** Traders assign a 94.3% implied probability that he will not leave by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, party mechanisms, or credible political pressure for an early exit. The NDA coalition government, led by the BJP, continues routine governance, including infrastructure reviews, international diplomacy, and domestic policy implementation, with Modi actively participating in events through September 2026. In June 2026, he surpassed Jawaharlal Nehru's record as longest-serving elected prime minister, prompting a unanimous cabinet resolution affirming support for his leadership and "Viksit Bharat" agenda. Isolated developments, such as July 2026 student protests that prompted an education minister's resignation and debunked social-media claims of Modi's own resignation, produced no broader challenge to his position. Cabinet adjustments and state-level electoral preparations remain standard internal processes without signs of instability. With no snap-election provisions active and Modi's party holding the largest bloc in parliament, the consensus centers on continuity through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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