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icon for Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?

<5 96.5%

5-9 1.8%

10-14 1.8%

15-19 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 96.5%

5-9 1.8%

10-14 1.8%

15-19 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$2,133 Vol.

97%

5-9

$236 Vol.

2%

10-14

$579 Vol.

2%

15-19

$513 Vol.

2%

20-24

$179 Vol.

1%

25-29

$181 Vol.

1%

30-34

$188 Vol.

1%

35-39

$192 Vol.

<1%

40-44

$189 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$181 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$289 Vol.

<1%

55-59

$395 Vol.

1%

60+

$462 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a consistently low posting rate on official X accounts since succeeding his father following early 2026 strikes, with activity limited to occasional written statements often distributed first through state media or Telegram. Recent weeks show only sporadic output tied to commemorative or regional themes, aligning with baseline patterns of fewer than one post per several days absent specific catalysts. No scheduled summits, escalations, or policy milestones fall within the September 1–8 window to prompt additional volume. Trader consensus at 97% for under five posts reflects this established rhythm, though an unforeseen crisis response, health update, or major diplomatic statement could increase activity beyond the prevailing range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,715
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has maintained a consistently low posting rate on official X accounts since succeeding his father following early 2026 strikes, with activity limited to occasional written statements often distributed first through state media or Telegram. Recent weeks show only sporadic output tied to commemorative or regional themes, aligning with baseline patterns of fewer than one post per several days absent specific catalysts. No scheduled summits, escalations, or policy milestones fall within the September 1–8 window to prompt additional volume. Trader consensus at 97% for under five posts reflects this established rhythm, though an unforeseen crisis response, health update, or major diplomatic statement could increase activity beyond the prevailing range.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,715
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 97%, followed by "5-9" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?" is "<5" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.