Recent polling averages place the reunited Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 8-9 seats. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after months of negotiations, with Hadash's Yousef Jabareen heading the list, followed by Ta'al's Ahmad Tibi and Balad's Sami Abu Shehadeh; this consolidation aims to improve Arab voter turnout and clear the 3.25% threshold more efficiently than separate runs. Ra'am continues separately and polls near 5 seats, keeping combined Arab representation stable near 12-13 mandates across most surveys. Ongoing fragmentation on the right and center, including competition between Likud, Yashar, and Together, has not materially altered Arab-list projections in the latest Kantar, Midgam, and Lazar releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-9 61%
6-7 30%
<6 14%
10-11 13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
14%
6-7
31%
8-9
53%
10-11
13%
12+
3%
8-9 61%
6-7 30%
<6 14%
10-11 13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$98 Vol.
14%
6-7
$97 Vol.
31%
8-9
$363 Vol.
53%
10-11
$77 Vol.
13%
12+
$299 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the reunited Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 8-9 seats. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after months of negotiations, with Hadash's Yousef Jabareen heading the list, followed by Ta'al's Ahmad Tibi and Balad's Sami Abu Shehadeh; this consolidation aims to improve Arab voter turnout and clear the 3.25% threshold more efficiently than separate runs. Ra'am continues separately and polls near 5 seats, keeping combined Arab representation stable near 12-13 mandates across most surveys. Ongoing fragmentation on the right and center, including competition between Likud, Yashar, and Together, has not materially altered Arab-list projections in the latest Kantar, Midgam, and Lazar releases.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$933End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the reunited Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 8-9 seats. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after months of negotiations, with Hadash's Yousef Jabareen heading the list, followed by Ta'al's Ahmad Tibi and Balad's Sami Abu Shehadeh; this consolidation aims to improve Arab voter turnout and clear the 3.25% threshold more efficiently than separate runs. Ra'am continues separately and polls near 5 seats, keeping combined Arab representation stable near 12-13 mandates across most surveys. Ongoing fragmentation on the right and center, including competition between Likud, Yashar, and Together, has not materially altered Arab-list projections in the latest Kantar, Midgam, and Lazar releases.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$933End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the reunited Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6-8 seat range ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 legislative election, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 8-9 seats. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after months of negotiations, with Hadash's Yousef Jabareen heading the list, followed by Ta'al's Ahmad Tibi and Balad's Sami Abu Shehadeh; this consolidation aims to improve Arab voter turnout and clear the 3.25% threshold more efficiently than separate runs. Ra'am continues separately and polls near 5 seats, keeping combined Arab representation stable near 12-13 mandates across most surveys. Ongoing fragmentation on the right and center, including competition between Likud, Yashar, and Together, has not materially altered Arab-list projections in the latest Kantar, Midgam, and Lazar releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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