**Clear, sunny conditions under a stable high-pressure system are driving the overwhelming market consensus for a 32°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 6.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a peak of 32–33°C during afternoon hours amid light northeast winds, low humidity around 40%, and negligible precipitation risk. Real-time observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 30s°C without signs of rapid intensification. Historical September baselines for the region support this range under similar anticyclonic setups. While minor model spreads or localized heating could push the official reading to 33°C, the tight clustering of guidance and absence of disruptive fronts make deviations highly unlikely at this late stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?
32°C 98%
33°C 4%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$24,004 Vol.
$24,004 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 98%
33°C 4%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$24,004 Vol.
$24,004 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, sunny conditions under a stable high-pressure system are driving the overwhelming market consensus for a 32°C daily maximum in Wuhan on September 6.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a peak of 32–33°C during afternoon hours amid light northeast winds, low humidity around 40%, and negligible precipitation risk. Real-time observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the low 30s°C without signs of rapid intensification. Historical September baselines for the region support this range under similar anticyclonic setups. While minor model spreads or localized heating could push the official reading to 33°C, the tight clustering of guidance and absence of disruptive fronts make deviations highly unlikely at this late stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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