**Recent model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, with afternoon convection and high humidity the main reasons trader probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes.** In the peak of the rainy season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains deep moisture and widespread instability; solar heating builds instability through the morning, but scattered to numerous thunderstorms typically develop by early afternoon. These storms increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce net insolation, often capping the temperature 1–2°C below what clear-sky radiative heating would produce. Sea-breeze circulation from the Pacific and Caribbean further modulates boundary-layer moisture and wind, while small differences in model timing of convective initiation or total cloud fraction create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, any shift in the latest ECMWF or GFS runs regarding precipitation onset will likely move the market most directly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 7?
31°C 35%
32°C 31%
30°C 14%
33°C or higher 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
14%
31°C 35%
32°C 31%
30°C 14%
33°C or higher 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
23°C or below
$125 Vol.
1%
24°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$137 Vol.
1%
28°C
$48 Vol.
1%
29°C
$475 Vol.
4%
30°C
$259 Vol.
14%
31°C
$123 Vol.
35%
32°C
$2,445 Vol.
31%
33°C or higher
$911 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, with afternoon convection and high humidity the main reasons trader probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes.** In the peak of the rainy season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains deep moisture and widespread instability; solar heating builds instability through the morning, but scattered to numerous thunderstorms typically develop by early afternoon. These storms increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce net insolation, often capping the temperature 1–2°C below what clear-sky radiative heating would produce. Sea-breeze circulation from the Pacific and Caribbean further modulates boundary-layer moisture and wind, while small differences in model timing of convective initiation or total cloud fraction create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, any shift in the latest ECMWF or GFS runs regarding precipitation onset will likely move the market most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,330End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, with afternoon convection and high humidity the main reasons trader probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes.** In the peak of the rainy season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains deep moisture and widespread instability; solar heating builds instability through the morning, but scattered to numerous thunderstorms typically develop by early afternoon. These storms increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce net insolation, often capping the temperature 1–2°C below what clear-sky radiative heating would produce. Sea-breeze circulation from the Pacific and Caribbean further modulates boundary-layer moisture and wind, while small differences in model timing of convective initiation or total cloud fraction create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, any shift in the latest ECMWF or GFS runs regarding precipitation onset will likely move the market most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,330End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus for Panama City, Panama, points to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, with afternoon convection and high humidity the main reasons trader probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes.** In the peak of the rainy season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains deep moisture and widespread instability; solar heating builds instability through the morning, but scattered to numerous thunderstorms typically develop by early afternoon. These storms increase cloud cover, enhance evaporative cooling, and reduce net insolation, often capping the temperature 1–2°C below what clear-sky radiative heating would produce. Sea-breeze circulation from the Pacific and Caribbean further modulates boundary-layer moisture and wind, while small differences in model timing of convective initiation or total cloud fraction create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C. With resolution based on official daily maximum observations, any shift in the latest ECMWF or GFS runs regarding precipitation onset will likely move the market most directly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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