**Current observational data and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds.** Multiple regional stations recorded peaks of 30–33°C through late afternoon, consistent with seasonal norms for early September and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of real-time measurements and the low probability of significant deviation before official daily closing values. A sudden clearing trend or stronger subsidence could push readings to 31–32°C, while persistent rain would more likely cap them at or below the leading threshold. Updated HKO readings and the final daily extract remain the key near-term resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$126,573 Vol.
$126,573 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$126,573 Vol.
$126,573 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$245 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$22,634 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$19,115 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35,806 Vol.
100%
31°C
$26,942 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,189 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,527 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current observational data and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds.** Multiple regional stations recorded peaks of 30–33°C through late afternoon, consistent with seasonal norms for early September and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of real-time measurements and the low probability of significant deviation before official daily closing values. A sudden clearing trend or stronger subsidence could push readings to 31–32°C, while persistent rain would more likely cap them at or below the leading threshold. Updated HKO readings and the final daily extract remain the key near-term resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$126,573End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current observational data and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds.** Multiple regional stations recorded peaks of 30–33°C through late afternoon, consistent with seasonal norms for early September and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of real-time measurements and the low probability of significant deviation before official daily closing values. A sudden clearing trend or stronger subsidence could push readings to 31–32°C, while persistent rain would more likely cap them at or below the leading threshold. Updated HKO readings and the final daily extract remain the key near-term resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$126,573End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current observational data and Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light winds.** Multiple regional stations recorded peaks of 30–33°C through late afternoon, consistent with seasonal norms for early September and recent model consensus showing limited daytime heating due to cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 30°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of real-time measurements and the low probability of significant deviation before official daily closing values. A sudden clearing trend or stronger subsidence could push readings to 31–32°C, while persistent rain would more likely cap them at or below the leading threshold. Updated HKO readings and the final daily extract remain the key near-term resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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