**Erdoğan is expected to remain in office through the end of 2026.** The next scheduled Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, and the constitution limits him to two five-year terms under the executive presidency system established in 2018. A snap election capable of resetting term eligibility would require a three-fifths parliamentary majority that the ruling AKP-MHP alliance currently lacks without opposition support. Recent months have seen further weakening of the main opposition CHP through court rulings, leadership disputes, and the continued effects of the 2025 arrest of prominent rival Ekrem İmamoğlu. Erdoğan continues routine governance, including foreign diplomacy and domestic legislation on issues such as PKK disarmament, with no reported health, resignation, or removal developments that would alter the timeline before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$634,937 Vol.
$634,937 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
6% chance
$634,937 Vol.
$634,937 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan is expected to remain in office through the end of 2026.** The next scheduled Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, and the constitution limits him to two five-year terms under the executive presidency system established in 2018. A snap election capable of resetting term eligibility would require a three-fifths parliamentary majority that the ruling AKP-MHP alliance currently lacks without opposition support. Recent months have seen further weakening of the main opposition CHP through court rulings, leadership disputes, and the continued effects of the 2025 arrest of prominent rival Ekrem İmamoğlu. Erdoğan continues routine governance, including foreign diplomacy and domestic legislation on issues such as PKK disarmament, with no reported health, resignation, or removal developments that would alter the timeline before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$634,937End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan is expected to remain in office through the end of 2026.** The next scheduled Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, and the constitution limits him to two five-year terms under the executive presidency system established in 2018. A snap election capable of resetting term eligibility would require a three-fifths parliamentary majority that the ruling AKP-MHP alliance currently lacks without opposition support. Recent months have seen further weakening of the main opposition CHP through court rulings, leadership disputes, and the continued effects of the 2025 arrest of prominent rival Ekrem İmamoğlu. Erdoğan continues routine governance, including foreign diplomacy and domestic legislation on issues such as PKK disarmament, with no reported health, resignation, or removal developments that would alter the timeline before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political barriers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$634,937End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...**Erdoğan is expected to remain in office through the end of 2026.** The next scheduled Turkish presidential and parliamentary elections fall in May 2028, and the constitution limits him to two five-year terms under the executive presidency system established in 2018. A snap election capable of resetting term eligibility would require a three-fifths parliamentary majority that the ruling AKP-MHP alliance currently lacks without opposition support. Recent months have seen further weakening of the main opposition CHP through court rulings, leadership disputes, and the continued effects of the 2025 arrest of prominent rival Ekrem İmamoğlu. Erdoğan continues routine governance, including foreign diplomacy and domestic legislation on issues such as PKK disarmament, with no reported health, resignation, or removal developments that would alter the timeline before December 31. Trader consensus reflects these structural and political barriers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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