**Erdoğan remains firmly in office through late 2026, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for 2028.** His current term is his second under the executive presidential system introduced in 2018, imposing a two-term limit unless parliament approves early elections by a three-fifths majority (360 of 600 seats). The ruling AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 320-330 seats and has shown no immediate plans for a snap vote before year-end. Opposition figures face significant constraints, including the 2025 arrest and ongoing trial of leading contender Ekrem İmamoğlu and leadership disruptions within the CHP. Reports of the 72-year-old president's health concerns and internal succession jockeying have surfaced, yet no verified developments indicate an exit before December 31, 2026. Traders price these structural barriers and continuity signals as sustaining his position in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
5% chance
$634,937 Vol.
$634,937 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
5% chance
$634,937 Vol.
$634,937 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan remains firmly in office through late 2026, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for 2028.** His current term is his second under the executive presidential system introduced in 2018, imposing a two-term limit unless parliament approves early elections by a three-fifths majority (360 of 600 seats). The ruling AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 320-330 seats and has shown no immediate plans for a snap vote before year-end. Opposition figures face significant constraints, including the 2025 arrest and ongoing trial of leading contender Ekrem İmamoğlu and leadership disruptions within the CHP. Reports of the 72-year-old president's health concerns and internal succession jockeying have surfaced, yet no verified developments indicate an exit before December 31, 2026. Traders price these structural barriers and continuity signals as sustaining his position in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$634,937End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan remains firmly in office through late 2026, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for 2028.** His current term is his second under the executive presidential system introduced in 2018, imposing a two-term limit unless parliament approves early elections by a three-fifths majority (360 of 600 seats). The ruling AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 320-330 seats and has shown no immediate plans for a snap vote before year-end. Opposition figures face significant constraints, including the 2025 arrest and ongoing trial of leading contender Ekrem İmamoğlu and leadership disruptions within the CHP. Reports of the 72-year-old president's health concerns and internal succession jockeying have surfaced, yet no verified developments indicate an exit before December 31, 2026. Traders price these structural barriers and continuity signals as sustaining his position in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$634,937End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...**Erdoğan remains firmly in office through late 2026, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for 2028.** His current term is his second under the executive presidential system introduced in 2018, imposing a two-term limit unless parliament approves early elections by a three-fifths majority (360 of 600 seats). The ruling AKP-MHP alliance holds roughly 320-330 seats and has shown no immediate plans for a snap vote before year-end. Opposition figures face significant constraints, including the 2025 arrest and ongoing trial of leading contender Ekrem İmamoğlu and leadership disruptions within the CHP. Reports of the 72-year-old president's health concerns and internal succession jockeying have surfaced, yet no verified developments indicate an exit before December 31, 2026. Traders price these structural barriers and continuity signals as sustaining his position in the near term.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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