Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 19–22 percent, up sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023 and placing it in a tight contest with the CDU, AfD, and Greens. This surge, driven by gains among younger and urban voters on housing affordability and social policy under top candidate Elif Eralp, supports seat projections in the low-to-mid 30s. The party’s membership growth to over 18,000 has aided mobilization, while late-August surveys indicate modest softening linked to internal controversies. With the five-percent threshold limiting smaller parties and coalition math favoring a potential Linke-Greens-SPD majority, trader consensus clusters on 30–39 seats as the most probable outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated35-39 42%
30-34 31%
40+ 25%
25-29 4.2%
$25,450 Vol.
$25,450 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
4%
30-34
31%
35-39
42%
40+
25%
35-39 42%
30-34 31%
40+ 25%
25-29 4.2%
$25,450 Vol.
$25,450 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$918 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$1,724 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$4,316 Vol.
4%
30-34
$4,333 Vol.
31%
35-39
$4,562 Vol.
42%
40+
$9,597 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 19–22 percent, up sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023 and placing it in a tight contest with the CDU, AfD, and Greens. This surge, driven by gains among younger and urban voters on housing affordability and social policy under top candidate Elif Eralp, supports seat projections in the low-to-mid 30s. The party’s membership growth to over 18,000 has aided mobilization, while late-August surveys indicate modest softening linked to internal controversies. With the five-percent threshold limiting smaller parties and coalition math favoring a potential Linke-Greens-SPD majority, trader consensus clusters on 30–39 seats as the most probable outcome range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$25,450End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 19–22 percent, up sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023 and placing it in a tight contest with the CDU, AfD, and Greens. This surge, driven by gains among younger and urban voters on housing affordability and social policy under top candidate Elif Eralp, supports seat projections in the low-to-mid 30s. The party’s membership growth to over 18,000 has aided mobilization, while late-August surveys indicate modest softening linked to internal controversies. With the five-percent threshold limiting smaller parties and coalition math favoring a potential Linke-Greens-SPD majority, trader consensus clusters on 30–39 seats as the most probable outcome range.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$25,450End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke at 19–22 percent, up sharply from its 12.2 percent result in 2023 and placing it in a tight contest with the CDU, AfD, and Greens. This surge, driven by gains among younger and urban voters on housing affordability and social policy under top candidate Elif Eralp, supports seat projections in the low-to-mid 30s. The party’s membership growth to over 18,000 has aided mobilization, while late-August surveys indicate modest softening linked to internal controversies. With the five-percent threshold limiting smaller parties and coalition math favoring a potential Linke-Greens-SPD majority, trader consensus clusters on 30–39 seats as the most probable outcome range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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