Recent APC primary results have positioned former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar as the party's 2027 nominee after he secured 57,517 votes against rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. INEC's publication of 19 candidates across parties, including Yakubu Adamu of APM, Senator Shehu Umar Buba of PRP, and PDP's Usman Supi, underscores a fragmented field. Internal APC tensions, candidate defections, and uncertainty over the ruling PDP's succession plans keep implied probabilities closely matched among leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects the extended timeline to the election, variable party structures, and potential for shifts from primaries, alliances, or legal challenges before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 43%
Yakubu Adamu 31%
Umar Shehu Buba 4.5%
Usman Supi 2.0%
$16,492 Vol.
$16,492 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
43%
Yakubu Adamu
31%
Umar Shehu Buba
5%
Usman Supi
2%
Mohammed Aliyu
1%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
1%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 43%
Yakubu Adamu 31%
Umar Shehu Buba 4.5%
Usman Supi 2.0%
$16,492 Vol.
$16,492 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
$8,020 Vol.
43%
Yakubu Adamu
$7,603 Vol.
31%
Umar Shehu Buba
$299 Vol.
5%
Usman Supi
$229 Vol.
2%
Mohammed Aliyu
$192 Vol.
1%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
$149 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Recent APC primary results have positioned former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar as the party's 2027 nominee after he secured 57,517 votes against rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. INEC's publication of 19 candidates across parties, including Yakubu Adamu of APM, Senator Shehu Umar Buba of PRP, and PDP's Usman Supi, underscores a fragmented field. Internal APC tensions, candidate defections, and uncertainty over the ruling PDP's succession plans keep implied probabilities closely matched among leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects the extended timeline to the election, variable party structures, and potential for shifts from primaries, alliances, or legal challenges before votes are cast.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$16,492End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Recent APC primary results have positioned former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar as the party's 2027 nominee after he secured 57,517 votes against rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. INEC's publication of 19 candidates across parties, including Yakubu Adamu of APM, Senator Shehu Umar Buba of PRP, and PDP's Usman Supi, underscores a fragmented field. Internal APC tensions, candidate defections, and uncertainty over the ruling PDP's succession plans keep implied probabilities closely matched among leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects the extended timeline to the election, variable party structures, and potential for shifts from primaries, alliances, or legal challenges before votes are cast.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$16,492End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent APC primary results have positioned former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar as the party's 2027 nominee after he secured 57,517 votes against rivals including Yusuf Tuggar. INEC's publication of 19 candidates across parties, including Yakubu Adamu of APM, Senator Shehu Umar Buba of PRP, and PDP's Usman Supi, underscores a fragmented field. Internal APC tensions, candidate defections, and uncertainty over the ruling PDP's succession plans keep implied probabilities closely matched among leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects the extended timeline to the election, variable party structures, and potential for shifts from primaries, alliances, or legal challenges before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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