Ahmed Galadima secured the APC gubernatorial nomination in May 2026 after a decisive primary victory backed by party stakeholders including the National Security Adviser, positioning him as the ruling party’s standard bearer for the 2027 contest. Maurice Vunobolki emerged as the PDP candidate through affirmation by delegates across all 21 local government areas, with the party reinforcing its grassroots strength via a clean sweep of recent local government elections. Trader pricing reflects these nominations alongside ongoing questions over party unity, federal-state dynamics, and voter mobilization ahead of the general election. Additional minor-party contenders and potential late alignments remain low-probability factors that could influence outcomes only if major realignments occur before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAhmed Galadima 47%
Maurice Vunobolki 6.0%
Omar Suleiman 4.0%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 3.9%
$18,528 Vol.
$18,528 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Galadima
47%
Maurice Vunobolki
6%
Omar Suleiman
4%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu
4%
Christopher Nathaniel
3%
Ahmed Galadima 47%
Maurice Vunobolki 6.0%
Omar Suleiman 4.0%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 3.9%
$18,528 Vol.
$18,528 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Ahmed Galadima
$14,096 Vol.
47%
Maurice Vunobolki
$1,450 Vol.
6%
Omar Suleiman
$844 Vol.
4%
Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu
$1,437 Vol.
4%
Christopher Nathaniel
$700 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Galadima secured the APC gubernatorial nomination in May 2026 after a decisive primary victory backed by party stakeholders including the National Security Adviser, positioning him as the ruling party’s standard bearer for the 2027 contest. Maurice Vunobolki emerged as the PDP candidate through affirmation by delegates across all 21 local government areas, with the party reinforcing its grassroots strength via a clean sweep of recent local government elections. Trader pricing reflects these nominations alongside ongoing questions over party unity, federal-state dynamics, and voter mobilization ahead of the general election. Additional minor-party contenders and potential late alignments remain low-probability factors that could influence outcomes only if major realignments occur before voting.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$18,528End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Galadima secured the APC gubernatorial nomination in May 2026 after a decisive primary victory backed by party stakeholders including the National Security Adviser, positioning him as the ruling party’s standard bearer for the 2027 contest. Maurice Vunobolki emerged as the PDP candidate through affirmation by delegates across all 21 local government areas, with the party reinforcing its grassroots strength via a clean sweep of recent local government elections. Trader pricing reflects these nominations alongside ongoing questions over party unity, federal-state dynamics, and voter mobilization ahead of the general election. Additional minor-party contenders and potential late alignments remain low-probability factors that could influence outcomes only if major realignments occur before voting.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$18,528End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ahmed Galadima secured the APC gubernatorial nomination in May 2026 after a decisive primary victory backed by party stakeholders including the National Security Adviser, positioning him as the ruling party’s standard bearer for the 2027 contest. Maurice Vunobolki emerged as the PDP candidate through affirmation by delegates across all 21 local government areas, with the party reinforcing its grassroots strength via a clean sweep of recent local government elections. Trader pricing reflects these nominations alongside ongoing questions over party unity, federal-state dynamics, and voter mobilization ahead of the general election. Additional minor-party contenders and potential late alignments remain low-probability factors that could influence outcomes only if major realignments occur before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions