Abba Kabir Yusuf holds the leading position in the Kano governorship market at 61.5 percent, driven by his formal defection from the NNPP to the APC and subsequent endorsement as the party’s consensus candidate. Senior APC figures including former national chairman Abdullahi Ganduje and Deputy Senate President Barau Jibrin have publicly backed his re-election bid, with recent mass defections of lawmakers and former NNPP leaders further consolidating his base ahead of the February 2027 vote. Former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee aligned with the Kwankwasiyya movement, trails at 29.5 percent amid reported internal party tensions and ongoing political realignments. Lower-probability options such as Muhammad Bello Dalhatu and Mohammad Raji reflect limited visible momentum for their respective platforms. Scheduled campaign activities and any further cross-party shifts remain the main variables that could influence trader assessments before the election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Kano, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Abba Kabir Yusuf 62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 30%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu 1.8%
Mohammad Raji <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abba Kabir Yusuf
62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo
30%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu
22%
Mohammad Raji
<1%
Abba Kabir Yusuf 62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo 30%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu 1.8%
Mohammad Raji <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Abba Kabir Yusuf
$1,852 Vol.
62%
Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo
$1,545 Vol.
30%
Muhammad Bello Dalhatu
$210 Vol.
22%
Mohammad Raji
$484 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Abba Kabir Yusuf holds the leading position in the Kano governorship market at 61.5 percent, driven by his formal defection from the NNPP to the APC and subsequent endorsement as the party’s consensus candidate. Senior APC figures including former national chairman Abdullahi Ganduje and Deputy Senate President Barau Jibrin have publicly backed his re-election bid, with recent mass defections of lawmakers and former NNPP leaders further consolidating his base ahead of the February 2027 vote. Former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee aligned with the Kwankwasiyya movement, trails at 29.5 percent amid reported internal party tensions and ongoing political realignments. Lower-probability options such as Muhammad Bello Dalhatu and Mohammad Raji reflect limited visible momentum for their respective platforms. Scheduled campaign activities and any further cross-party shifts remain the main variables that could influence trader assessments before the election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volume
$4,090End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Abba Kabir Yusuf holds the leading position in the Kano governorship market at 61.5 percent, driven by his formal defection from the NNPP to the APC and subsequent endorsement as the party’s consensus candidate. Senior APC figures including former national chairman Abdullahi Ganduje and Deputy Senate President Barau Jibrin have publicly backed his re-election bid, with recent mass defections of lawmakers and former NNPP leaders further consolidating his base ahead of the February 2027 vote. Former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee aligned with the Kwankwasiyya movement, trails at 29.5 percent amid reported internal party tensions and ongoing political realignments. Lower-probability options such as Muhammad Bello Dalhatu and Mohammad Raji reflect limited visible momentum for their respective platforms. Scheduled campaign activities and any further cross-party shifts remain the main variables that could influence trader assessments before the election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kano State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$4,090End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abba Kabir Yusuf holds the leading position in the Kano governorship market at 61.5 percent, driven by his formal defection from the NNPP to the APC and subsequent endorsement as the party’s consensus candidate. Senior APC figures including former national chairman Abdullahi Ganduje and Deputy Senate President Barau Jibrin have publicly backed his re-election bid, with recent mass defections of lawmakers and former NNPP leaders further consolidating his base ahead of the February 2027 vote. Former deputy governor Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo, now the NDC nominee aligned with the Kwankwasiyya movement, trails at 29.5 percent amid reported internal party tensions and ongoing political realignments. Lower-probability options such as Muhammad Bello Dalhatu and Mohammad Raji reflect limited visible momentum for their respective platforms. Scheduled campaign activities and any further cross-party shifts remain the main variables that could influence trader assessments before the election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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