China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year on year, below forecasts, as food prices fell 1.5% amid ample pork supplies and weak consumption while non-food inflation eased to 0.9%. August data, due shortly from the National Bureau of Statistics, face similar headwinds from soft domestic demand and property-sector drag, though analysts note potential modest rebound from base effects, stabilizing energy prices after Middle East volatility, and policy signals from the July Politburo meeting favoring stepped-up fiscal support. Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August but improved slightly, suggesting limited near-term demand pickup. Trader pricing places the highest probability on a 0.7%-0.8% print, reflecting expectations of contained reflation rather than a sharp reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.7% - 0.8% 50%
0.5% - 0.6% 28%
0.9%+ 19.0%
0.3% - 0.4% 9.3%
$29,946 Vol.
$29,946 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
9%
0.5% - 0.6%
28%
0.7% - 0.8%
50%
0.9%+
19%
0.7% - 0.8% 50%
0.5% - 0.6% 28%
0.9%+ 19.0%
0.3% - 0.4% 9.3%
$29,946 Vol.
$29,946 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$1,176 Vol.
1%
0.3% - 0.4%
$2,029 Vol.
9%
0.5% - 0.6%
$10,833 Vol.
28%
0.7% - 0.8%
$12,214 Vol.
50%
0.9%+
$3,694 Vol.
19%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year on year, below forecasts, as food prices fell 1.5% amid ample pork supplies and weak consumption while non-food inflation eased to 0.9%. August data, due shortly from the National Bureau of Statistics, face similar headwinds from soft domestic demand and property-sector drag, though analysts note potential modest rebound from base effects, stabilizing energy prices after Middle East volatility, and policy signals from the July Politburo meeting favoring stepped-up fiscal support. Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August but improved slightly, suggesting limited near-term demand pickup. Trader pricing places the highest probability on a 0.7%-0.8% print, reflecting expectations of contained reflation rather than a sharp reversal.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$29,946End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year on year, below forecasts, as food prices fell 1.5% amid ample pork supplies and weak consumption while non-food inflation eased to 0.9%. August data, due shortly from the National Bureau of Statistics, face similar headwinds from soft domestic demand and property-sector drag, though analysts note potential modest rebound from base effects, stabilizing energy prices after Middle East volatility, and policy signals from the July Politburo meeting favoring stepped-up fiscal support. Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August but improved slightly, suggesting limited near-term demand pickup. Trader pricing places the highest probability on a 0.7%-0.8% print, reflecting expectations of contained reflation rather than a sharp reversal.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$29,946End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China's July CPI rose just 0.5% year on year, below forecasts, as food prices fell 1.5% amid ample pork supplies and weak consumption while non-food inflation eased to 0.9%. August data, due shortly from the National Bureau of Statistics, face similar headwinds from soft domestic demand and property-sector drag, though analysts note potential modest rebound from base effects, stabilizing energy prices after Middle East volatility, and policy signals from the July Politburo meeting favoring stepped-up fiscal support. Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in August but improved slightly, suggesting limited near-term demand pickup. Trader pricing places the highest probability on a 0.7%-0.8% print, reflecting expectations of contained reflation rather than a sharp reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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