China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus and driven by ongoing food deflation (notably pork) plus softer non-food prices amid weak household spending and property-sector drag, has shaped expectations for the August annual rate. Analysts note persistent slack in domestic demand, capacity overhang in manufacturing, and moderating global energy costs as key downward pressures, with only limited offsets from services, medical pricing, and targeted policy measures. Forecasts cluster around 0.7%, supporting the 0.7%-0.8% band as the modal outcome while allowing scope for upside from base effects or fiscal stimulus transmission and downside from further demand weakness. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due mid-September, will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.7% - 0.8% 43%
0.3% - 0.4% 30.0%
0.5% - 0.6% 27%
0.9%+ 20.3%
$24,546 Vol.
$24,546 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
2%
0.3% - 0.4%
18%
0.5% - 0.6%
27%
0.7% - 0.8%
26%
0.9%+
20%
0.7% - 0.8% 43%
0.3% - 0.4% 30.0%
0.5% - 0.6% 27%
0.9%+ 20.3%
$24,546 Vol.
$24,546 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$882 Vol.
2%
0.3% - 0.4%
$1,541 Vol.
18%
0.5% - 0.6%
$9,440 Vol.
27%
0.7% - 0.8%
$10,222 Vol.
26%
0.9%+
$2,461 Vol.
20%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus and driven by ongoing food deflation (notably pork) plus softer non-food prices amid weak household spending and property-sector drag, has shaped expectations for the August annual rate. Analysts note persistent slack in domestic demand, capacity overhang in manufacturing, and moderating global energy costs as key downward pressures, with only limited offsets from services, medical pricing, and targeted policy measures. Forecasts cluster around 0.7%, supporting the 0.7%-0.8% band as the modal outcome while allowing scope for upside from base effects or fiscal stimulus transmission and downside from further demand weakness. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due mid-September, will resolve the market.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$24,546End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus and driven by ongoing food deflation (notably pork) plus softer non-food prices amid weak household spending and property-sector drag, has shaped expectations for the August annual rate. Analysts note persistent slack in domestic demand, capacity overhang in manufacturing, and moderating global energy costs as key downward pressures, with only limited offsets from services, medical pricing, and targeted policy measures. Forecasts cluster around 0.7%, supporting the 0.7%-0.8% band as the modal outcome while allowing scope for upside from base effects or fiscal stimulus transmission and downside from further demand weakness. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due mid-September, will resolve the market.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$24,546End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China’s July CPI print of 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus and driven by ongoing food deflation (notably pork) plus softer non-food prices amid weak household spending and property-sector drag, has shaped expectations for the August annual rate. Analysts note persistent slack in domestic demand, capacity overhang in manufacturing, and moderating global energy costs as key downward pressures, with only limited offsets from services, medical pricing, and targeted policy measures. Forecasts cluster around 0.7%, supporting the 0.7%-0.8% band as the modal outcome while allowing scope for upside from base effects or fiscal stimulus transmission and downside from further demand weakness. The National Bureau of Statistics release, due mid-September, will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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