Argentina's August monthly inflation print, due shortly from INDEC, carries a 63.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 1.5-1.7% range. The leading outcome reflects analyst consensus that the July rebound to 2.1% m/m—driven by seasonal spikes in recreation, culture, and vegetables—will prove transitory, with food and core components resuming their gradual deceleration under the Milei administration's fiscal and monetary restraint. July's year-over-year rate reached 33.8%, yet forward-looking estimates from consultancies and the BCRA's REM survey cluster around 1.5-1.8% for August, supported by subdued wage pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 release and subsequent September data that will clarify whether disinflation has re-established its downward trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.5-1.7% 63.3%
1.8-2.0% 28.4%
1.2-1.4% 9.2%
2.1-2.3% 2.1%
$21,129 Vol.
$21,129 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
<1%
1.2-1.4%
9%
1.5-1.7%
63%
1.8-2.0%
28%
2.1-2.3%
2%
2.4-2.6%
<1%
2.7-2.9%
<1%
3.0%+
<1%
1.5-1.7% 63.3%
1.8-2.0% 28.4%
1.2-1.4% 9.2%
2.1-2.3% 2.1%
$21,129 Vol.
$21,129 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$920 Vol.
<1%
1.2-1.4%
$1,611 Vol.
9%
1.5-1.7%
$7,585 Vol.
63%
1.8-2.0%
$7,469 Vol.
28%
2.1-2.3%
$1,487 Vol.
2%
2.4-2.6%
$710 Vol.
<1%
2.7-2.9%
$673 Vol.
<1%
3.0%+
$673 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's August monthly inflation print, due shortly from INDEC, carries a 63.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 1.5-1.7% range. The leading outcome reflects analyst consensus that the July rebound to 2.1% m/m—driven by seasonal spikes in recreation, culture, and vegetables—will prove transitory, with food and core components resuming their gradual deceleration under the Milei administration's fiscal and monetary restraint. July's year-over-year rate reached 33.8%, yet forward-looking estimates from consultancies and the BCRA's REM survey cluster around 1.5-1.8% for August, supported by subdued wage pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 release and subsequent September data that will clarify whether disinflation has re-established its downward trajectory.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$21,129End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's August monthly inflation print, due shortly from INDEC, carries a 63.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 1.5-1.7% range. The leading outcome reflects analyst consensus that the July rebound to 2.1% m/m—driven by seasonal spikes in recreation, culture, and vegetables—will prove transitory, with food and core components resuming their gradual deceleration under the Milei administration's fiscal and monetary restraint. July's year-over-year rate reached 33.8%, yet forward-looking estimates from consultancies and the BCRA's REM survey cluster around 1.5-1.8% for August, supported by subdued wage pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 release and subsequent September data that will clarify whether disinflation has re-established its downward trajectory.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,129End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's August monthly inflation print, due shortly from INDEC, carries a 63.5% market-implied probability of landing in the 1.5-1.7% range. The leading outcome reflects analyst consensus that the July rebound to 2.1% m/m—driven by seasonal spikes in recreation, culture, and vegetables—will prove transitory, with food and core components resuming their gradual deceleration under the Milei administration's fiscal and monetary restraint. July's year-over-year rate reached 33.8%, yet forward-looking estimates from consultancies and the BCRA's REM survey cluster around 1.5-1.8% for August, supported by subdued wage pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments. Key near-term catalysts include the September 10 release and subsequent September data that will clarify whether disinflation has re-established its downward trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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