Popular Vote predictions & odds

Politics·Congress

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$131K Vol.

$254K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

28%

Democrats 8-10%

$131K Vol.

$254K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

$19.7K Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

24%

National 0-5%

$19.7K Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

$39.4K Vol.

$82.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Neutrality initiative

$39.4K Vol.

$82.3K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Elections·Popular Vote

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$6.8K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

61%

VAT federal decree

$6.8K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Midterms

Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout

$231 Vol.

$548 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

34%

2.8M-2.95M

$231 Vol.

$548 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

$160 Vol.

$590 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

37%

700K-750K

$160 Vol.

$590 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Midterms

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

$793 Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

30%

2M-2.1M

$793 Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí

$12.3K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

98%

Lula

$12.3K Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

$36.9K Vol.

$144K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

97%

Lula

$36.9K Vol.

$144K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Maranhão

$12.0K Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

97%

Lula

$12.0K Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

$19.9K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

85%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$19.9K Vol.

$133K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Brazil

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

$39.6K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

53%

Marcelo Castro

$39.6K Vol.

$155K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

$18.9K Vol.

$188K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

90%

Lula

$18.9K Vol.

$188K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Midterms

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

$271 Vol.

$551 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

37%

4M+

$271 Vol.

$551 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Margin Of Victory

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

$3.5K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

55%

Michigan

$3.5K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Margin Of Victory

Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory

$5.6K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

20%

Democrat 35-40%

$5.6K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·Brazil

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

$39.0K Vol.

$233K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

36%

Julio Cesar

$39.0K Vol.

$233K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·US Election

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

$553 Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

20%

$553 Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás

$52.0K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

84%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$52.0K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Elections·Brazil

Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

$16.0K Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

60%

Veneziano

$16.0K Vol.

$53.7K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Popular Vote.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Popular Vote that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $455K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to Democrats 8-10%. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Popular Vote predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Popular Vote shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory” without ever needing to place a trade.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

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Popular Vote predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Popular Vote prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Popular Vote markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Popular Vote prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Popular Vote predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Popular Vote odds?

Can I track Popular Vote predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Popular Vote markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Popular Vote predictions & odds