Recent envoy talks in Moscow and the Kremlin’s September statement on a possible trilateral summit with Xi Jinping at the November APEC meeting in Shenzhen have positioned China as the frontrunner for any 2026 Trump-Putin encounter. Ongoing U.S.-brokered Ukraine peace efforts remain indirect through intermediaries like Kushner and Witkoff, with no confirmed bilateral dates or venues announced. Trader pricing reflects this mix of diplomatic signals and persistent uncertainty over whether direct leader-level talks will occur before year-end, as stalled negotiations and competing regional priorities limit near-term clarity on location or timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 51%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.5%
$881,264 Vol.
$881,264 Vol.

China
51%

No meeting by December 31
43%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
China 51%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.5%
$881,264 Vol.
$881,264 Vol.

China
51%

No meeting by December 31
43%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent envoy talks in Moscow and the Kremlin’s September statement on a possible trilateral summit with Xi Jinping at the November APEC meeting in Shenzhen have positioned China as the frontrunner for any 2026 Trump-Putin encounter. Ongoing U.S.-brokered Ukraine peace efforts remain indirect through intermediaries like Kushner and Witkoff, with no confirmed bilateral dates or venues announced. Trader pricing reflects this mix of diplomatic signals and persistent uncertainty over whether direct leader-level talks will occur before year-end, as stalled negotiations and competing regional priorities limit near-term clarity on location or timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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