Recent Kremlin statements highlight the possibility of a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, elevating that location as the leading implied probability in trader assessments. Putin has confirmed plans to attend the gathering, while U.S. participation remains unconfirmed, sustaining uncertainty that supports the sizable share assigned to no meeting occurring by year-end. Prior bilateral contacts, including the 2025 Alaska summit, have not produced a follow-up in 2026, and procedural or diplomatic factors such as scheduling alignments, regional tensions, and competing priorities continue to shape expectations. Any confirmation of U.S. attendance or alternative venue announcements could shift positioning among remaining options.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 52%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.5%
$880,747 Vol.
$880,747 Vol.

China
52%

No meeting by December 31
43%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
China 52%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.5%
$880,747 Vol.
$880,747 Vol.

China
52%

No meeting by December 31
43%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Turkey
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements highlight the possibility of a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, elevating that location as the leading implied probability in trader assessments. Putin has confirmed plans to attend the gathering, while U.S. participation remains unconfirmed, sustaining uncertainty that supports the sizable share assigned to no meeting occurring by year-end. Prior bilateral contacts, including the 2025 Alaska summit, have not produced a follow-up in 2026, and procedural or diplomatic factors such as scheduling alignments, regional tensions, and competing priorities continue to shape expectations. Any confirmation of U.S. attendance or alternative venue announcements could shift positioning among remaining options.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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