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icon for Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

icon for Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China 52%

No meeting by December 31 43%

United States 2.6%

Russia 1.5%

Polymarket

$880,747 Vol.

China 52%

No meeting by December 31 43%

United States 2.6%

Russia 1.5%

Polymarket

$880,747 Vol.

icon for China

China

$120,959 Vol.

52%

icon for No meeting by December 31

No meeting by December 31

$165,394 Vol.

43%

icon for United States

United States

$50,557 Vol.

3%

icon for Russia

Russia

$93,202 Vol.

2%

icon for Turkey

Turkey

$44,358 Vol.

1%

icon for Other

Other

$42,490 Vol.

1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$44,730 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gulf country

Gulf country

$33,504 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belarus

Belarus

$43,148 Vol.

<1%

icon for Finland

Finland

$40,813 Vol.

<1%

icon for Other EU country

Other EU country

$42,968 Vol.

<1%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$46,401 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$45,620 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$26,116 Vol.

<1%

icon for Japan

Japan

$40,488 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Kremlin statements highlight the possibility of a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, elevating that location as the leading implied probability in trader assessments. Putin has confirmed plans to attend the gathering, while U.S. participation remains unconfirmed, sustaining uncertainty that supports the sizable share assigned to no meeting occurring by year-end. Prior bilateral contacts, including the 2025 Alaska summit, have not produced a follow-up in 2026, and procedural or diplomatic factors such as scheduling alignments, regional tensions, and competing priorities continue to shape expectations. Any confirmation of U.S. attendance or alternative venue announcements could shift positioning among remaining options.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$880,747
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent Kremlin statements highlight the possibility of a trilateral meeting involving Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, elevating that location as the leading implied probability in trader assessments. Putin has confirmed plans to attend the gathering, while U.S. participation remains unconfirmed, sustaining uncertainty that supports the sizable share assigned to no meeting occurring by year-end. Prior bilateral contacts, including the 2025 Alaska summit, have not produced a follow-up in 2026, and procedural or diplomatic factors such as scheduling alignments, regional tensions, and competing priorities continue to shape expectations. Any confirmation of U.S. attendance or alternative venue announcements could shift positioning among remaining options.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$880,747
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "China" at 52%, followed by "No meeting by December 31" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?" has generated $880.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?" is "China" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No meeting by December 31" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.