The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its statutory October 27 date following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after months of coalition debate over an earlier snap vote. Lawmakers ultimately preserved the original timetable set by the Basic Law, allowing the outgoing government to complete its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Party list submissions, diplomatic voting, and campaign financing rules have advanced according to the fixed schedule, with no verified legislative, judicial, or security developments triggering postponement authority under the 80-member supermajority requirement. Trader consensus reflects the absence of credible procedural or emergency barriers in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated94% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
94% chance
NEW
NEW
Oct 27, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its statutory October 27 date following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after months of coalition debate over an earlier snap vote. Lawmakers ultimately preserved the original timetable set by the Basic Law, allowing the outgoing government to complete its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Party list submissions, diplomatic voting, and campaign financing rules have advanced according to the fixed schedule, with no verified legislative, judicial, or security developments triggering postponement authority under the 80-member supermajority requirement. Trader consensus reflects the absence of credible procedural or emergency barriers in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Volume
$6,732End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its statutory October 27 date following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after months of coalition debate over an earlier snap vote. Lawmakers ultimately preserved the original timetable set by the Basic Law, allowing the outgoing government to complete its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Party list submissions, diplomatic voting, and campaign financing rules have advanced according to the fixed schedule, with no verified legislative, judicial, or security developments triggering postponement authority under the 80-member supermajority requirement. Trader consensus reflects the absence of credible procedural or emergency barriers in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel.
This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement).
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,732End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Israeli legislative election remains on track for its statutory October 27 date following the Knesset’s dissolution on July 17 after months of coalition debate over an earlier snap vote. Lawmakers ultimately preserved the original timetable set by the Basic Law, allowing the outgoing government to complete its full four-year term—the first such occurrence since 1988. Party list submissions, diplomatic voting, and campaign financing rules have advanced according to the fixed schedule, with no verified legislative, judicial, or security developments triggering postponement authority under the 80-member supermajority requirement. Trader consensus reflects the absence of credible procedural or emergency barriers in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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