Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$66,895 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$66,895 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,619 Vol.

90%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$2,161 Vol.

87%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

87%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$3,546 Vol.

82%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

73%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$1,077 Vol.

69%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$1,741 Vol.

68%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

66%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$885 Vol.

66%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$126 Vol.

64%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$513 Vol.

79%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$1,966 Vol.

63%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$150 Vol.

63%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$136 Vol.

64%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$3,064 Vol.

59%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,541 Vol.

55%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

54%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

51%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$835 Vol.

39%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$100 Vol.

37%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

37%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

36%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$120 Vol.

34%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$3,018 Vol.

34%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$1,676 Vol.

32%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$20 Vol.

32%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$451 Vol.

30%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$1,719 Vol.

46%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

27%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$2,579 Vol.

26%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

26%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$665 Vol.

22%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

22%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$1,076 Vol.

21%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,387 Vol.

20%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$811 Vol.

19%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$699 Vol.

19%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$497 Vol.

19%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$142 Vol.

19%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$2,101 Vol.

19%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$143 Vol.

19%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$1,021 Vol.

18%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$542 Vol.

17%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$1,476 Vol.

17%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$735 Vol.

16%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$203 Vol.

16%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,122 Vol.

16%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$888 Vol.

16%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$1,038 Vol.

15%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$20 Vol.

15%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$40 Vol.

14%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$4,122 Vol.

14%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$1,660 Vol.

13%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$20 Vol.

13%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$1,489 Vol.

11%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$4,315 Vol.

10%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$84 Vol.

9%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$1,802 Vol.

9%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$2,503 Vol.

8%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$4,263 Vol.

3%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$626 Vol.

2%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 midterm elections approaching in November, potential 2028 contenders are engaging in early positioning through visits to Iowa, New Hampshire, and other early primary states, donor outreach, podcast appearances, and polling efforts, though no major-party figures have formally declared. On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio draw the most speculation as leading figures in an open field after President Trump’s term-limited tenure, with others such as Ron DeSantis, Ted Cruz, and Rand Paul also mentioned. Democrats face a wide-open contest featuring former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and governors like Andy Beshear or Josh Shapiro, amid ongoing shadow campaigns and internal party discussions about the primary calendar. A handful of lesser-known or exploratory steps have occurred, including Dan Greaney’s May 2026 announcement and Royce White’s August 2026 filing, but the bulk of announcements are expected after the midterms into early 2027. Traders monitor these developments for signals on timing, as formal entries or exploratory committees could shift focus among listed options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,895
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 midterm elections approaching in November, potential 2028 contenders are engaging in early positioning through visits to Iowa, New Hampshire, and other early primary states, donor outreach, podcast appearances, and polling efforts, though no major-party figures have formally declared. On the Republican side, Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio draw the most speculation as leading figures in an open field after President Trump’s term-limited tenure, with others such as Ron DeSantis, Ted Cruz, and Rand Paul also mentioned. Democrats face a wide-open contest featuring former Vice President Kamala Harris, Governor Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and governors like Andy Beshear or Josh Shapiro, amid ongoing shadow campaigns and internal party discussions about the primary calendar. A handful of lesser-known or exploratory steps have occurred, including Dan Greaney’s May 2026 announcement and Royce White’s August 2026 filing, but the bulk of announcements are expected after the midterms into early 2027. Traders monitor these developments for signals on timing, as formal entries or exploratory committees could shift focus among listed options.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$66,895
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

13%
icon for Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

2%
icon for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

13%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 90%, followed by "Ted Cruz" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $66.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ted Cruz" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.