Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 60.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting leading or near-leading results on the benchmark's math category in the June 2026 release, where models reached scores above 90% on contamination-resistant tasks. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and earlier 5.x series trail at 35.5% amid competitive but slightly lower math-specific averages in the same snapshots, while Google, Meta, and others sit below 2% due to comparatively weaker demonstrated performance on LiveBench's numerical reasoning and olympiad-style problems. New model drops or fine-tunes before the October cutoff represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the live leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Anthropic 61%
OpenAI 36%
Google 1.7%
Meta <1%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
61%
OpenAI
36%
2%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 61%
OpenAI 36%
Google 1.7%
Meta <1%
$21,229 Vol.
$21,229 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,277 Vol.
61%
OpenAI
$6,281 Vol.
36%
$1,336 Vol.
2%
Meta
$501 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$509 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$483 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$513 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 60.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting leading or near-leading results on the benchmark's math category in the June 2026 release, where models reached scores above 90% on contamination-resistant tasks. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and earlier 5.x series trail at 35.5% amid competitive but slightly lower math-specific averages in the same snapshots, while Google, Meta, and others sit below 2% due to comparatively weaker demonstrated performance on LiveBench's numerical reasoning and olympiad-style problems. New model drops or fine-tunes before the October cutoff represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the live leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,229End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 60.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting leading or near-leading results on the benchmark's math category in the June 2026 release, where models reached scores above 90% on contamination-resistant tasks. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and earlier 5.x series trail at 35.5% amid competitive but slightly lower math-specific averages in the same snapshots, while Google, Meta, and others sit below 2% due to comparatively weaker demonstrated performance on LiveBench's numerical reasoning and olympiad-style problems. New model drops or fine-tunes before the October cutoff represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the live leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$21,229End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 60.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October, driven by recent Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting leading or near-leading results on the benchmark's math category in the June 2026 release, where models reached scores above 90% on contamination-resistant tasks. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 and earlier 5.x series trail at 35.5% amid competitive but slightly lower math-specific averages in the same snapshots, while Google, Meta, and others sit below 2% due to comparatively weaker demonstrated performance on LiveBench's numerical reasoning and olympiad-style problems. New model drops or fine-tunes before the October cutoff represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift the live leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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