Claude predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

$83.7K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

99%

December 31

$83.7K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

$1.7K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

84%

December 31, 2027

$1.7K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$88.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

90%

55%+

$88.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

$4.4K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

39%

8-10

$4.4K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

$12.0K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

97%

December 31

$12.0K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

$25.9K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

80%

1500+

$25.9K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

$9.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

50%

October 31

$9.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$9.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

95%

45%+

$9.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Canada

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

$4.0K Vol.

$62.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

45%

Sol Zanetti

$4.0K Vol.

$62.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

World·Canada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

$1.8K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

52%

Eric Girard

$1.8K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$623K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

26%

$1.75–$2.0T

$623K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

$171K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

64%

October 2026

$171K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

$511K Vol.

$207K Liq.

100%

↑ $1.1T

$511K Vol.

$207K Liq.

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$4M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

95%

↑$1.5T

$4M Vol.

$346K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 14?

$9.8K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

64%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$9.8K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 21?

$6.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

61%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$6.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

World·Canada

Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

$3.7K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

64%

Claude Reid

$3.7K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sports·Games

Clermont Foot 63 vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

28%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 7?

$58.0K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

97%

Other

$58.0K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

$393K Vol.

$94.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

81%

1.8T+

$393K Vol.

$94.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Claude that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Claude Opus released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to ↑$1.5T. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Claude shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Claude prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Next Claude Opus released by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Claude prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Claude predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Claude prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Claude markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Claude prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Claude predictions?

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Claude predictions & odds