Anthropic’s IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filed June 1 and marketing targeted for mid-October with a potential late-October or November listing, anchor trader expectations for a closing market cap near $2 trillion. Explosive revenue growth—from roughly $9 billion annualized at end-2025 to a $47 billion run rate in May and $65 billion by July—has fueled secondary-market marks around $1.32 trillion and banker discussions of a $2 trillion debut that would surpass SpaceX’s record. The $965 billion Series H valuation from May and $15 billion credit facility underway support the $1.75–2.5 trillion cluster holding over 65% probability, while execution risks, audited margins in the forthcoming prospectus, competitive AI dynamics, and broader market conditions keep the distribution wide.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75–$2.0T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%
$621,907 Vol.
$621,907 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
26%
$2.0–$2.25T
23%
$2.25–$2.5T
18%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
$1.75–$2.0T 26%
$2.0–$2.25T 22.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 12.5%
$621,907 Vol.
$621,907 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
10%
$1.75–$2.0T
26%
$2.0–$2.25T
23%
$2.25–$2.5T
18%
$2.5–$2.75T
13%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filed June 1 and marketing targeted for mid-October with a potential late-October or November listing, anchor trader expectations for a closing market cap near $2 trillion. Explosive revenue growth—from roughly $9 billion annualized at end-2025 to a $47 billion run rate in May and $65 billion by July—has fueled secondary-market marks around $1.32 trillion and banker discussions of a $2 trillion debut that would surpass SpaceX’s record. The $965 billion Series H valuation from May and $15 billion credit facility underway support the $1.75–2.5 trillion cluster holding over 65% probability, while execution risks, audited margins in the forthcoming prospectus, competitive AI dynamics, and broader market conditions keep the distribution wide.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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