**Rapid revenue growth and banker discussions around a potential $2 trillion valuation are driving trader consensus toward an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up sharply from $47 billion in May, fueled by strong adoption of its Claude large language models, particularly in coding and enterprise applications. A confidential S-1 filing in June, followed by reports of a $15 billion credit facility and an October marketing window ahead of a possible November listing, have reinforced expectations of a blockbuster debut that could surpass recent tech IPO benchmarks like SpaceX. While timelines have slipped slightly and public-market reception remains uncertain, the combination of demonstrated scaling and competitive AI positioning sustains the high implied probability for the top bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 81%
1.5–1.8T 14.1%
1.2–1.5T 3.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 <1%
$393,243 Vol.
$393,243 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
81%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
1.8T+ 81%
1.5–1.8T 14.1%
1.2–1.5T 3.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 <1%
$393,243 Vol.
$393,243 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
3%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
81%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Rapid revenue growth and banker discussions around a potential $2 trillion valuation are driving trader consensus toward an Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up sharply from $47 billion in May, fueled by strong adoption of its Claude large language models, particularly in coding and enterprise applications. A confidential S-1 filing in June, followed by reports of a $15 billion credit facility and an October marketing window ahead of a possible November listing, have reinforced expectations of a blockbuster debut that could surpass recent tech IPO benchmarks like SpaceX. While timelines have slipped slightly and public-market reception remains uncertain, the combination of demonstrated scaling and competitive AI positioning sustains the high implied probability for the top bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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