Traders price Elon Musk’s net worth on September 30 most heavily in the $800–900 billion range because SpaceX shares—locked until mid-2027 and representing roughly 82% of his fortune—have stabilized near recent lows after their June IPO surge and subsequent correction. Tesla’s stock, the secondary driver, has shown mixed moves tied to the Cybercab robotaxi launch and ongoing Full Self-Driving regulatory reviews. Short-term volatility in both equities, rather than any single catalyst, keeps the market-implied odds concentrated below $1 trillion while acknowledging that modest rebounds in SpaceX or Tesla could quickly push the total higher before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$800-$900B 40%
$900B-$1.00T 22%
$1.00-$1.10T 9%
$700-$800B 5.9%
$11,199 Vol.
$11,199 Vol.
<$600B
1%
$600-$700B
1%
$700-$800B
10%
$800-$900B
48%
$900B-$1.00T
22%
$1.00-$1.10T
9%
$1.10T+
2%
$800-$900B 40%
$900B-$1.00T 22%
$1.00-$1.10T 9%
$700-$800B 5.9%
$11,199 Vol.
$11,199 Vol.
<$600B
1%
$600-$700B
1%
$700-$800B
10%
$800-$900B
48%
$900B-$1.00T
22%
$1.00-$1.10T
9%
$1.10T+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price Elon Musk’s net worth on September 30 most heavily in the $800–900 billion range because SpaceX shares—locked until mid-2027 and representing roughly 82% of his fortune—have stabilized near recent lows after their June IPO surge and subsequent correction. Tesla’s stock, the secondary driver, has shown mixed moves tied to the Cybercab robotaxi launch and ongoing Full Self-Driving regulatory reviews. Short-term volatility in both equities, rather than any single catalyst, keeps the market-implied odds concentrated below $1 trillion while acknowledging that modest rebounds in SpaceX or Tesla could quickly push the total higher before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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