DeepSeek's sustained dominance on OpenRouter stems from its V4 Flash series, which combines low-cost MoE architecture, high throughput, and strong performance on agentic and coding workloads, driving the majority of routed tokens in recent weeks. Aggressive pricing—often far below U.S. alternatives—has accelerated developer migration, allowing DeepSeek models to capture leading weekly token volumes while competitors like Tencent, Z.ai, and Xiaomi split remaining Chinese share. U.S. labs trail in aggregate usage despite occasional promotions. The 97.8% market-implied odds reflect this consistent edge, though a major OpenAI or Google release, sudden capacity issues, or routing policy shift could still narrow the gap before the week resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeepSeek 97.8%
Nvidia 1.2%
Tencent 1.0%
Qwen <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
DeepSeek
98%
Nvidia
1%
Tencent
1%
Qwen
1%
Z.ai
1%
OpenAI
1%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Meta
1%
xAI
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek 97.8%
Nvidia 1.2%
Tencent 1.0%
Qwen <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
DeepSeek
$1,004 Vol.
98%
Nvidia
$343 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$298 Vol.
1%
Qwen
$179 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$179 Vol.
1%
OpenAI
$188 Vol.
1%
$209 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$209 Vol.
1%
Meta
$296 Vol.
1%
xAI
$179 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$197 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.DeepSeek's sustained dominance on OpenRouter stems from its V4 Flash series, which combines low-cost MoE architecture, high throughput, and strong performance on agentic and coding workloads, driving the majority of routed tokens in recent weeks. Aggressive pricing—often far below U.S. alternatives—has accelerated developer migration, allowing DeepSeek models to capture leading weekly token volumes while competitors like Tencent, Z.ai, and Xiaomi split remaining Chinese share. U.S. labs trail in aggregate usage despite occasional promotions. The 97.8% market-implied odds reflect this consistent edge, though a major OpenAI or Google release, sudden capacity issues, or routing policy shift could still narrow the gap before the week resolves.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$3,490End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.DeepSeek's sustained dominance on OpenRouter stems from its V4 Flash series, which combines low-cost MoE architecture, high throughput, and strong performance on agentic and coding workloads, driving the majority of routed tokens in recent weeks. Aggressive pricing—often far below U.S. alternatives—has accelerated developer migration, allowing DeepSeek models to capture leading weekly token volumes while competitors like Tencent, Z.ai, and Xiaomi split remaining Chinese share. U.S. labs trail in aggregate usage despite occasional promotions. The 97.8% market-implied odds reflect this consistent edge, though a major OpenAI or Google release, sudden capacity issues, or routing policy shift could still narrow the gap before the week resolves.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$3,490End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek's sustained dominance on OpenRouter stems from its V4 Flash series, which combines low-cost MoE architecture, high throughput, and strong performance on agentic and coding workloads, driving the majority of routed tokens in recent weeks. Aggressive pricing—often far below U.S. alternatives—has accelerated developer migration, allowing DeepSeek models to capture leading weekly token volumes while competitors like Tencent, Z.ai, and Xiaomi split remaining Chinese share. U.S. labs trail in aggregate usage despite occasional promotions. The 97.8% market-implied odds reflect this consistent edge, though a major OpenAI or Google release, sudden capacity issues, or routing policy shift could still narrow the gap before the week resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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