**OpenAI holds overwhelming market-implied odds at 98% to finish third in OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31–September 6, 2026.** Chinese labs such as DeepSeek, Xiaomi (MiMo), Tencent (Hy series), and MiniMax continue to lead token volume through aggressive pricing, rapid iteration, and strong performance in coding and agentic workloads that drive high-volume developer usage on the platform. OpenAI maintains a stable mid-tier position behind these leaders, supported by brand recognition, recent model discounts that lifted its share without overtaking the top spots, and consistent enterprise and app integrations. This positioning reflects real paid usage data rather than benchmarks. A sudden OpenAI product launch, deeper discounts, or unexpected drop in Chinese model adoption could still shift the ranking before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.1%
Anthropic <1%
DeepSeek <1%

OpenAI
98%

1%

Anthropic
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Tencent
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Qwen
1%

xAI
1%

Z.ai
1%

Xiaomi
1%
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 1.1%
Anthropic <1%
DeepSeek <1%

OpenAI
98%

1%

Anthropic
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Tencent
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Qwen
1%

xAI
1%

Z.ai
1%

Xiaomi
1%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...**OpenAI holds overwhelming market-implied odds at 98% to finish third in OpenRouter market share for the week of August 31–September 6, 2026.** Chinese labs such as DeepSeek, Xiaomi (MiMo), Tencent (Hy series), and MiniMax continue to lead token volume through aggressive pricing, rapid iteration, and strong performance in coding and agentic workloads that drive high-volume developer usage on the platform. OpenAI maintains a stable mid-tier position behind these leaders, supported by brand recognition, recent model discounts that lifted its share without overtaking the top spots, and consistent enterprise and app integrations. This positioning reflects real paid usage data rather than benchmarks. A sudden OpenAI product launch, deeper discounts, or unexpected drop in Chinese model adoption could still shift the ranking before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions