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Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$25,509 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$25,509 Vol.

Polymarket

Tampa, FL

$2,630 Vol.

94%

San Diego, CA

$3,857 Vol.

90%

Denver, CO

$1,975 Vol.

86%

Las Vegas, NV

$2,002 Vol.

75%

St. Louis, MO

$0 Vol.

48%

Detroit, MI

$178 Vol.

44%

Chicago, IL

$742 Vol.

43%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 Vol.

43%

Sacramento, CA

$1,166 Vol.

50%

Charlotte, NC

$398 Vol.

32%

New Orleans, LA

$169 Vol.

24%

New York, NY

$814 Vol.

21%

Pittsburgh, PA

$581 Vol.

21%

Minneapolis, MN

$2,057 Vol.

17%

Washington, DC

$1,248 Vol.

15%

London, UK

$595 Vol.

13%

Boston, MA

$3,653 Vol.

11%

Portland, OR

$2,364 Vol.

10%

Seattle, WA

$444 Vol.

5%

Baltimore, MD

$614 Vol.

54%

Tokyo, Japan

$20 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent simultaneous public launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1, 2026—bringing its total to 14 U.S. cities—reflects an accelerated expansion pace backed by a fleet exceeding 4,000 vehicles and over 500,000 weekly rides. The company is scaling its sixth-generation Waymo Driver on the new Ojai (Zeekr-based) platform while pursuing regulatory approvals, including an August Nevada permit for up to 1,000 vehicles in Las Vegas and California Public Utilities Commission clearance for broader operations across 18 counties plus Sacramento. Trader sentiment for additional launches by year-end centers on this momentum toward the stated goal of one million weekly rides, tempered by the need for mapping, testing, and local permits that have historically preceded each rollout.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,509
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s recent simultaneous public launch of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa on September 1, 2026—bringing its total to 14 U.S. cities—reflects an accelerated expansion pace backed by a fleet exceeding 4,000 vehicles and over 500,000 weekly rides. The company is scaling its sixth-generation Waymo Driver on the new Ojai (Zeekr-based) platform while pursuing regulatory approvals, including an August Nevada permit for up to 1,000 vehicles in Las Vegas and California Public Utilities Commission clearance for broader operations across 18 counties plus Sacramento. Trader sentiment for additional launches by year-end centers on this momentum toward the stated goal of one million weekly rides, tempered by the need for mapping, testing, and local permits that have historically preceded each rollout.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,509
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa, FL" at 94%, followed by "San Diego, CA" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" has generated $25.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is "Tampa, FL" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "San Diego, CA" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.