Recent diplomatic activity has kept the implied probability of a 2026 Trump-Putin meeting closely balanced between China and no meeting by year-end. US envoys met Putin in Moscow in early September to advance Ukraine peace proposals, following the 2025 Alaska summit, while Kremlin statements highlighted possible trilateral talks with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether these efforts will produce a confirmed bilateral or multilateral encounter in China versus stalled negotiations or scheduling constraints. Confirmation of Trump’s APEC attendance, concrete progress on territorial or security issues, or alternative venue announcements could widen the gap between leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China 51%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.5%
$881,194 Vol.
$881,194 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
China
51%
No meeting by December 31
43%
United States
3%
Russia
2%
Turkey
1%
Other
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Gulf country
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
China 51%
No meeting by December 31 43%
United States 2.6%
Russia 1.5%
$881,194 Vol.
$881,194 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
China
$121,354 Vol.
51%
No meeting by December 31
$165,445 Vol.
43%
United States
$50,557 Vol.
3%
Russia
$93,202 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$44,358 Vol.
1%
Other
$42,490 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$44,730 Vol.
<1%
Gulf country
$33,504 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$43,148 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$40,813 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$42,968 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$46,401 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,620 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$26,116 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$40,488 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic activity has kept the implied probability of a 2026 Trump-Putin meeting closely balanced between China and no meeting by year-end. US envoys met Putin in Moscow in early September to advance Ukraine peace proposals, following the 2025 Alaska summit, while Kremlin statements highlighted possible trilateral talks with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether these efforts will produce a confirmed bilateral or multilateral encounter in China versus stalled negotiations or scheduling constraints. Confirmation of Trump’s APEC attendance, concrete progress on territorial or security issues, or alternative venue announcements could widen the gap between leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$881,194End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent diplomatic activity has kept the implied probability of a 2026 Trump-Putin meeting closely balanced between China and no meeting by year-end. US envoys met Putin in Moscow in early September to advance Ukraine peace proposals, following the 2025 Alaska summit, while Kremlin statements highlighted possible trilateral talks with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether these efforts will produce a confirmed bilateral or multilateral encounter in China versus stalled negotiations or scheduling constraints. Confirmation of Trump’s APEC attendance, concrete progress on territorial or security issues, or alternative venue announcements could widen the gap between leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$881,194End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic activity has kept the implied probability of a 2026 Trump-Putin meeting closely balanced between China and no meeting by year-end. US envoys met Putin in Moscow in early September to advance Ukraine peace proposals, following the 2025 Alaska summit, while Kremlin statements highlighted possible trilateral talks with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the November APEC summit in Shenzhen. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether these efforts will produce a confirmed bilateral or multilateral encounter in China versus stalled negotiations or scheduling constraints. Confirmation of Trump’s APEC attendance, concrete progress on territorial or security issues, or alternative venue announcements could widen the gap between leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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