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icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner

Dillon Roberts 19%

Leanne Raw 18%

Chloe Foster 13.2%

Michael Johnstone 11%

Polymarket
NEW

Dillon Roberts 19%

Leanne Raw 18%

Chloe Foster 13.2%

Michael Johnstone 11%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dillon Roberts

Dillon Roberts

$1,221 Vol.

19%

icon for Leanne Raw

Leanne Raw

$3,986 Vol.

18%

icon for Chloe Foster

Chloe Foster

$1,265 Vol.

13%

icon for Michael Johnstone

Michael Johnstone

$1,289 Vol.

22%

icon for Mary Duniam

Mary Duniam

$717 Vol.

3%

icon for Kevin Hyland

Kevin Hyland

$864 Vol.

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open mayoral contest in Waratah-Wynyard Council, following incumbent Mary Duniam’s retirement, has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local candidates ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Multiple experienced contenders, including Dillon Roberts, Michael Johnstone, Leanne Raw, and Chloe Foster, have declared or are positioned to run, preventing any single candidate from consolidating early support. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with top named outcomes clustered in the mid-teens to low twenties and a long tail of additional candidates at equal pricing. Recent council budget decisions and leadership transitions have not yet shifted the field noticeably, leaving room for campaign developments, preferential voting patterns, or late nominations to create separation before results are declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$9,343
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open mayoral contest in Waratah-Wynyard Council, following incumbent Mary Duniam’s retirement, has produced a fragmented field of sitting councillors and other local candidates ahead of the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections. Multiple experienced contenders, including Dillon Roberts, Michael Johnstone, Leanne Raw, and Chloe Foster, have declared or are positioned to run, preventing any single candidate from consolidating early support. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with top named outcomes clustered in the mid-teens to low twenties and a long tail of additional candidates at equal pricing. Recent council budget decisions and leadership transitions have not yet shifted the field noticeably, leaving room for campaign developments, preferential voting patterns, or late nominations to create separation before results are declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Waratah–Wynyard Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$9,343
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Johnstone" at 23%, followed by "Dillon Roberts" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" is "Michael Johnstone" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dillon Roberts" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Waratah–Wynyard Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.