Latest Swedish polling aggregates show Miljöpartiet and Centerpartiet trading narrow leads or remaining within a point of each other in the final days before the September 13 parliamentary election, with C holding a slim edge that aligns with the 52% trader-implied probability. Both parties compete for overlapping centrist and environmentally focused voters amid campaign emphasis on climate measures, energy costs, and economic pressures, while broader bloc negotiations involving Social Democrats and potential cross-bloc deals add uncertainty. Recent surveys indicate modest volatility in their shares, driven by turnout dynamics and voter shifts from larger parties. Late-breaking campaign events, differential mobilization on green issues, or final poll releases could narrow or widen the margin before votes are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?
MP
MP
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Centre Party (C) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Latest Swedish polling aggregates show Miljöpartiet and Centerpartiet trading narrow leads or remaining within a point of each other in the final days before the September 13 parliamentary election, with C holding a slim edge that aligns with the 52% trader-implied probability. Both parties compete for overlapping centrist and environmentally focused voters amid campaign emphasis on climate measures, energy costs, and economic pressures, while broader bloc negotiations involving Social Democrats and potential cross-bloc deals add uncertainty. Recent surveys indicate modest volatility in their shares, driven by turnout dynamics and voter shifts from larger parties. Late-breaking campaign events, differential mobilization on green issues, or final poll releases could narrow or widen the margin before votes are counted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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