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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Politics·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
Politics·Sweden

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place

Left Party (V) 29%

Centre Party (C) 29%

Green Party (MP) 29%

Christian Democrats (KD) 15%

Polymarket

$29,276 Vol.

Left Party (V) 29%

Centre Party (C) 29%

Green Party (MP) 29%

Christian Democrats (KD) 15%

Polymarket

$29,276 Vol.

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$5,991 Vol.

29%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$7,218 Vol.

29%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$6,962 Vol.

29%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$4,803 Vol.

15%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$1,228 Vol.

<1%

icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1,107 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$765 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$646 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election features a tight contest for fifth place among smaller parties polling in the 6–8% range. Recent aggregates place the Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), and Green Party (MP) within a few points of one another, while the Christian Democrats (KD) trail slightly behind. The overall left bloc has maintained a narrow edge in most surveys, yet the governing side has narrowed the gap in late-August and early-September polling amid voter focus on the economy, crime, and energy policy. Volatility in these mid-tier parties stems from modest sample-to-sample shifts and potential last-minute tactical movements, leaving traders assigning roughly comparable probabilities to V, C, and MP finishing fifth. Final campaign events or turnout differentials among their respective voter bases could still reorder the standings before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$29,276
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election features a tight contest for fifth place among smaller parties polling in the 6–8% range. Recent aggregates place the Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), and Green Party (MP) within a few points of one another, while the Christian Democrats (KD) trail slightly behind. The overall left bloc has maintained a narrow edge in most surveys, yet the governing side has narrowed the gap in late-August and early-September polling amid voter focus on the economy, crime, and energy policy. Volatility in these mid-tier parties stems from modest sample-to-sample shifts and potential last-minute tactical movements, leaving traders assigning roughly comparable probabilities to V, C, and MP finishing fifth. Final campaign events or turnout differentials among their respective voter bases could still reorder the standings before election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$29,276
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

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icon for Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

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icon for Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Left Party (V)" at 29%, followed by "Centre Party (C)" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" has generated $29.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" is "Left Party (V)" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Centre Party (C)" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.