Recent South Korean CPI prints, including the 3.1% year-over-year reading for August 2026 driven by elevated petroleum prices and base effects from prior telecom discounts, have lifted trader-implied odds for a full-year average above 3.0% to 31.1%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes to a 3% policy rate, alongside upward revisions to 2026 growth and core inflation forecasts amid semiconductor-led demand and lingering Middle East energy pressures, reinforce expectations for sticky price pressures. Core inflation accelerating to 3.4% highlights broadening underlying momentum beyond transitory factors. With outcomes in the 2.4–2.9% range collectively holding substantial probability, markets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal caps, fading base effects, and gradual oil-price normalization will pull the annual figure back toward the 2% target or sustain it near recent highs through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.0%+ 31.1%
2.4% to 2.6% 23.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 15.4%
2.1% to 2.3% 15.0%
$38,793 Vol.
$38,793 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
15%
2.4% to 2.6%
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
15%
3.0%+
31%
3.0%+ 31.1%
2.4% to 2.6% 23.9%
2.7% to 2.9% 15.4%
2.1% to 2.3% 15.0%
$38,793 Vol.
$38,793 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1.5%
$2,776 Vol.
4%
1.5% to 1.7%
$3,030 Vol.
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
$1,782 Vol.
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
$4,196 Vol.
15%
2.4% to 2.6%
$5,449 Vol.
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
$6,502 Vol.
15%
3.0%+
$15,058 Vol.
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korean CPI prints, including the 3.1% year-over-year reading for August 2026 driven by elevated petroleum prices and base effects from prior telecom discounts, have lifted trader-implied odds for a full-year average above 3.0% to 31.1%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes to a 3% policy rate, alongside upward revisions to 2026 growth and core inflation forecasts amid semiconductor-led demand and lingering Middle East energy pressures, reinforce expectations for sticky price pressures. Core inflation accelerating to 3.4% highlights broadening underlying momentum beyond transitory factors. With outcomes in the 2.4–2.9% range collectively holding substantial probability, markets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal caps, fading base effects, and gradual oil-price normalization will pull the annual figure back toward the 2% target or sustain it near recent highs through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$38,793End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent South Korean CPI prints, including the 3.1% year-over-year reading for August 2026 driven by elevated petroleum prices and base effects from prior telecom discounts, have lifted trader-implied odds for a full-year average above 3.0% to 31.1%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes to a 3% policy rate, alongside upward revisions to 2026 growth and core inflation forecasts amid semiconductor-led demand and lingering Middle East energy pressures, reinforce expectations for sticky price pressures. Core inflation accelerating to 3.4% highlights broadening underlying momentum beyond transitory factors. With outcomes in the 2.4–2.9% range collectively holding substantial probability, markets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal caps, fading base effects, and gradual oil-price normalization will pull the annual figure back toward the 2% target or sustain it near recent highs through year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volume
$38,793End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South Korean CPI prints, including the 3.1% year-over-year reading for August 2026 driven by elevated petroleum prices and base effects from prior telecom discounts, have lifted trader-implied odds for a full-year average above 3.0% to 31.1%. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25-basis-point hikes to a 3% policy rate, alongside upward revisions to 2026 growth and core inflation forecasts amid semiconductor-led demand and lingering Middle East energy pressures, reinforce expectations for sticky price pressures. Core inflation accelerating to 3.4% highlights broadening underlying momentum beyond transitory factors. With outcomes in the 2.4–2.9% range collectively holding substantial probability, markets reflect uncertainty over whether fiscal caps, fading base effects, and gradual oil-price normalization will pull the annual figure back toward the 2% target or sustain it near recent highs through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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