Latest polling ahead of the September 6 Landtag election projects the AfD near 41 percent support, translating to roughly 38-41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and falling short of the 42 needed for an absolute majority. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA in early September show the party holding a wide lead over the CDU but limited by smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens clearing the five-percent threshold. Other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist. No significant late-campaign shifts have altered these projections in the final week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38-41 75%
42-45 18%
34-37 7.3%
46-49 <1%
$175,042 Vol.
$175,042 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
<1%
34-37
7%
38-41
75%
42-45
18%
46-49
<1%
50+
<1%
38-41 75%
42-45 18%
34-37 7.3%
46-49 <1%
$175,042 Vol.
$175,042 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
$21,308 Vol.
<1%
34-37
$37,968 Vol.
7%
38-41
$40,643 Vol.
75%
42-45
$30,236 Vol.
18%
46-49
$21,230 Vol.
<1%
50+
$23,656 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Latest polling ahead of the September 6 Landtag election projects the AfD near 41 percent support, translating to roughly 38-41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and falling short of the 42 needed for an absolute majority. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA in early September show the party holding a wide lead over the CDU but limited by smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens clearing the five-percent threshold. Other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist. No significant late-campaign shifts have altered these projections in the final week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Volume
$175,042End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Latest polling ahead of the September 6 Landtag election projects the AfD near 41 percent support, translating to roughly 38-41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and falling short of the 42 needed for an absolute majority. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA in early September show the party holding a wide lead over the CDU but limited by smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens clearing the five-percent threshold. Other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist. No significant late-campaign shifts have altered these projections in the final week.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$175,042End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest polling ahead of the September 6 Landtag election projects the AfD near 41 percent support, translating to roughly 38-41 seats in the 83-seat parliament and falling short of the 42 needed for an absolute majority. Consistent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and INSA in early September show the party holding a wide lead over the CDU but limited by smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens clearing the five-percent threshold. Other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation with the AfD, whose state branch is classified as confirmed right-wing extremist. No significant late-campaign shifts have altered these projections in the final week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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