Recent polling in the final days before the 6 September 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD at 41-43 percent, far ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and the Left at 11-12 percent, with the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW near or below the five-percent threshold. This support level, combined with possible non-qualification by smaller parties that would boost larger parties' seat shares under proportional allocation, points to the AfD securing roughly 38-41 of the 83 seats. Traders have priced the 38-41 range highest because the latest FG Wahlen and INSA surveys indicate the party will fall short of the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, while still comfortably outpacing all competitors. Earlier summer trends had shown similar AfD strength without crossing into majority territory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38-41 75%
42-45 18%
34-37 9.3%
46-49 <1%
$182,201 Vol.
$182,201 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
<1%
34-37
9%
38-41
75%
42-45
18%
46-49
1%
50+
<1%
38-41 75%
42-45 18%
34-37 9.3%
46-49 <1%
$182,201 Vol.
$182,201 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
$21,498 Vol.
<1%
34-37
$44,578 Vol.
9%
38-41
$40,718 Vol.
75%
42-45
$30,303 Vol.
18%
46-49
$21,381 Vol.
1%
50+
$23,723 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in the final days before the 6 September 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD at 41-43 percent, far ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and the Left at 11-12 percent, with the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW near or below the five-percent threshold. This support level, combined with possible non-qualification by smaller parties that would boost larger parties' seat shares under proportional allocation, points to the AfD securing roughly 38-41 of the 83 seats. Traders have priced the 38-41 range highest because the latest FG Wahlen and INSA surveys indicate the party will fall short of the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, while still comfortably outpacing all competitors. Earlier summer trends had shown similar AfD strength without crossing into majority territory.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Volume
$182,201End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling in the final days before the 6 September 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD at 41-43 percent, far ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and the Left at 11-12 percent, with the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW near or below the five-percent threshold. This support level, combined with possible non-qualification by smaller parties that would boost larger parties' seat shares under proportional allocation, points to the AfD securing roughly 38-41 of the 83 seats. Traders have priced the 38-41 range highest because the latest FG Wahlen and INSA surveys indicate the party will fall short of the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, while still comfortably outpacing all competitors. Earlier summer trends had shown similar AfD strength without crossing into majority territory.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$182,201End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the final days before the 6 September 2026 Landtag election shows the AfD at 41-43 percent, far ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and the Left at 11-12 percent, with the SPD, Greens, FDP, and BSW near or below the five-percent threshold. This support level, combined with possible non-qualification by smaller parties that would boost larger parties' seat shares under proportional allocation, points to the AfD securing roughly 38-41 of the 83 seats. Traders have priced the 38-41 range highest because the latest FG Wahlen and INSA surveys indicate the party will fall short of the 42 seats needed for an absolute majority, while still comfortably outpacing all competitors. Earlier summer trends had shown similar AfD strength without crossing into majority territory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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