Recent polls show the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s Landtag election on September 20 with 35–37 percent, while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28–32 percent and holds a clear edge for second place. The Linke trails at around 11 percent, the CDU at 8–10 percent, and the Grüne near the 5 percent threshold; smaller parties remain lower. Trader consensus assigns the SPD a high probability for second because repeated surveys place it ahead of all rivals except the AfD, and the CDU’s decline plus the absence of viable alternatives reinforce this ordering. The SPD’s gains in late-August polling reflect support for incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig, while the AfD’s consistent lead keeps its own second-place odds low. With the vote two weeks away, further shifts remain possible but current data sustain the present ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSPD 77%
AfD 21.9%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$38,992 Vol.
$38,992 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
77%
AfD
22%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD 77%
AfD 21.9%
CDU <1%
Grüne <1%
$38,992 Vol.
$38,992 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
SPD
$18,859 Vol.
77%
AfD
$14,804 Vol.
22%
CDU
$902 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$909 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$815 Vol.
<1%
FW
$749 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$920 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s Landtag election on September 20 with 35–37 percent, while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28–32 percent and holds a clear edge for second place. The Linke trails at around 11 percent, the CDU at 8–10 percent, and the Grüne near the 5 percent threshold; smaller parties remain lower. Trader consensus assigns the SPD a high probability for second because repeated surveys place it ahead of all rivals except the AfD, and the CDU’s decline plus the absence of viable alternatives reinforce this ordering. The SPD’s gains in late-August polling reflect support for incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig, while the AfD’s consistent lead keeps its own second-place odds low. With the vote two weeks away, further shifts remain possible but current data sustain the present ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$38,992End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s Landtag election on September 20 with 35–37 percent, while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28–32 percent and holds a clear edge for second place. The Linke trails at around 11 percent, the CDU at 8–10 percent, and the Grüne near the 5 percent threshold; smaller parties remain lower. Trader consensus assigns the SPD a high probability for second because repeated surveys place it ahead of all rivals except the AfD, and the CDU’s decline plus the absence of viable alternatives reinforce this ordering. The SPD’s gains in late-August polling reflect support for incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig, while the AfD’s consistent lead keeps its own second-place odds low. With the vote two weeks away, further shifts remain possible but current data sustain the present ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$38,992End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s Landtag election on September 20 with 35–37 percent, while the SPD has narrowed the gap to 28–32 percent and holds a clear edge for second place. The Linke trails at around 11 percent, the CDU at 8–10 percent, and the Grüne near the 5 percent threshold; smaller parties remain lower. Trader consensus assigns the SPD a high probability for second because repeated surveys place it ahead of all rivals except the AfD, and the CDU’s decline plus the absence of viable alternatives reinforce this ordering. The SPD’s gains in late-August polling reflect support for incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig, while the AfD’s consistent lead keeps its own second-place odds low. With the vote two weeks away, further shifts remain possible but current data sustain the present ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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