**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27°C because official observations and model consensus pointed to minimal overnight cooling in a humid tropical environment.** High dew points near 24–25°C and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limited radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Northwest winds and pressure around 1008–1010 hPa further moderated temperature drops, consistent with typical September patterns influenced by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Forecasters from sources like the GFS and local stations highlighted 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) as the most probable minimum range, with slight variations depending on exact station siting or timing of showers. The near-even implied probabilities across 25–27°C reflect genuine uncertainty in final verified readings amid these stable but variable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5?
27°C 99%
20°C or below 20%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
$627 Vol.
$627 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 99%
20°C or below 20%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
$627 Vol.
$627 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$72 Vol.
No
21°C
$212 Vol.
No
22°C
$22 Vol.
No
23°C
$32 Vol.
No
24°C
$27 Vol.
No
25°C
$29 Vol.
No
26°C
$29 Vol.
No
27°C
$22 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$72 Vol.
No
29°C
$47 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$62 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27°C because official observations and model consensus pointed to minimal overnight cooling in a humid tropical environment.** High dew points near 24–25°C and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limited radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Northwest winds and pressure around 1008–1010 hPa further moderated temperature drops, consistent with typical September patterns influenced by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Forecasters from sources like the GFS and local stations highlighted 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) as the most probable minimum range, with slight variations depending on exact station siting or timing of showers. The near-even implied probabilities across 25–27°C reflect genuine uncertainty in final verified readings amid these stable but variable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$627End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27°C because official observations and model consensus pointed to minimal overnight cooling in a humid tropical environment.** High dew points near 24–25°C and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limited radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Northwest winds and pressure around 1008–1010 hPa further moderated temperature drops, consistent with typical September patterns influenced by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Forecasters from sources like the GFS and local stations highlighted 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) as the most probable minimum range, with slight variations depending on exact station siting or timing of showers. The near-even implied probabilities across 25–27°C reflect genuine uncertainty in final verified readings amid these stable but variable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$627End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 5, 2026, clusters tightly around 25–27°C because official observations and model consensus pointed to minimal overnight cooling in a humid tropical environment.** High dew points near 24–25°C and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limited radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared to drier conditions. Northwest winds and pressure around 1008–1010 hPa further moderated temperature drops, consistent with typical September patterns influenced by the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Forecasters from sources like the GFS and local stations highlighted 78–80°F (25.6–26.7°C) as the most probable minimum range, with slight variations depending on exact station siting or timing of showers. The near-even implied probabilities across 25–27°C reflect genuine uncertainty in final verified readings amid these stable but variable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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