The Louisiana U.S. Senate general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis in a state where recent primaries and runoffs showed Republican participation outpacing Democrats by wide margins under the new closed-party system. With Letlow positioned as the clear favorite following her June runoff victory, trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2M–1.5M total votes because historical midterm Senate turnout benchmarks sit in this band, yet uncertainty remains over general-election mobilization, early voting trends, and whether limited competitiveness suppresses participation relative to more contested cycles. Upcoming campaign events and get-out-the-vote efforts in the final weeks could shift probabilities within these closely matched ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.2M-1.3M 38%
1.7M+ 37%
<1.1M 30%
1.3M-1.4M 30%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.1M
30%
1.1M-1.2M
1%
1.2M-1.3M
38%
1.3M-1.4M
30%
1.4M-1.5M
37%
1.5M-1.6M
2%
1.6M-1.7M
5%
1.7M+
37%
1.2M-1.3M 38%
1.7M+ 37%
<1.1M 30%
1.3M-1.4M 30%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1.1M
$20 Vol.
30%
1.1M-1.2M
$801 Vol.
1%
1.2M-1.3M
$20 Vol.
38%
1.3M-1.4M
$20 Vol.
30%
1.4M-1.5M
$20 Vol.
37%
1.5M-1.6M
$982 Vol.
2%
1.6M-1.7M
$189 Vol.
5%
1.7M+
$20 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Louisiana U.S. Senate general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis in a state where recent primaries and runoffs showed Republican participation outpacing Democrats by wide margins under the new closed-party system. With Letlow positioned as the clear favorite following her June runoff victory, trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2M–1.5M total votes because historical midterm Senate turnout benchmarks sit in this band, yet uncertainty remains over general-election mobilization, early voting trends, and whether limited competitiveness suppresses participation relative to more contested cycles. Upcoming campaign events and get-out-the-vote efforts in the final weeks could shift probabilities within these closely matched ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Volume
$2,072End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Louisiana U.S. Senate general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis in a state where recent primaries and runoffs showed Republican participation outpacing Democrats by wide margins under the new closed-party system. With Letlow positioned as the clear favorite following her June runoff victory, trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2M–1.5M total votes because historical midterm Senate turnout benchmarks sit in this band, yet uncertainty remains over general-election mobilization, early voting trends, and whether limited competitiveness suppresses participation relative to more contested cycles. Upcoming campaign events and get-out-the-vote efforts in the final weeks could shift probabilities within these closely matched ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,072End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Louisiana U.S. Senate general election features Republican nominee Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis in a state where recent primaries and runoffs showed Republican participation outpacing Democrats by wide margins under the new closed-party system. With Letlow positioned as the clear favorite following her June runoff victory, trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2M–1.5M total votes because historical midterm Senate turnout benchmarks sit in this band, yet uncertainty remains over general-election mobilization, early voting trends, and whether limited competitiveness suppresses participation relative to more contested cycles. Upcoming campaign events and get-out-the-vote efforts in the final weeks could shift probabilities within these closely matched ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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