**Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly ruled out a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party for the October 27, 2026 Knesset vote, describing the decision as final despite Prime Minister Netanyahu’s appeals to consolidate the right-wing vote.** The parties last ran together in 2022; recent polling shows Otzma Yehudit clearing the threshold comfortably on its own while RZP hovers near or below it, prompting Smotrich instead to form a technical bloc with Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut party. With candidate lists due to the Central Elections Committee on September 8 and no merger agreement reached, traders assign very low probability to a renewed alliance. The only realistic paths to reversal remain an abrupt last-minute pact before the deadline or an unforeseen shift in internal party calculations, both viewed as remote given the public positions and separate slates already prepared.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & RZP Run on Same List?
4% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
4% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly ruled out a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party for the October 27, 2026 Knesset vote, describing the decision as final despite Prime Minister Netanyahu’s appeals to consolidate the right-wing vote.** The parties last ran together in 2022; recent polling shows Otzma Yehudit clearing the threshold comfortably on its own while RZP hovers near or below it, prompting Smotrich instead to form a technical bloc with Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut party. With candidate lists due to the Central Elections Committee on September 8 and no merger agreement reached, traders assign very low probability to a renewed alliance. The only realistic paths to reversal remain an abrupt last-minute pact before the deadline or an unforeseen shift in internal party calculations, both viewed as remote given the public positions and separate slates already prepared.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$6,654End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly ruled out a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party for the October 27, 2026 Knesset vote, describing the decision as final despite Prime Minister Netanyahu’s appeals to consolidate the right-wing vote.** The parties last ran together in 2022; recent polling shows Otzma Yehudit clearing the threshold comfortably on its own while RZP hovers near or below it, prompting Smotrich instead to form a technical bloc with Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut party. With candidate lists due to the Central Elections Committee on September 8 and no merger agreement reached, traders assign very low probability to a renewed alliance. The only realistic paths to reversal remain an abrupt last-minute pact before the deadline or an unforeseen shift in internal party calculations, both viewed as remote given the public positions and separate slates already prepared.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$6,654End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Otzma Yehudit leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has repeatedly ruled out a joint electoral list with Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party for the October 27, 2026 Knesset vote, describing the decision as final despite Prime Minister Netanyahu’s appeals to consolidate the right-wing vote.** The parties last ran together in 2022; recent polling shows Otzma Yehudit clearing the threshold comfortably on its own while RZP hovers near or below it, prompting Smotrich instead to form a technical bloc with Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut party. With candidate lists due to the Central Elections Committee on September 8 and no merger agreement reached, traders assign very low probability to a renewed alliance. The only realistic paths to reversal remain an abrupt last-minute pact before the deadline or an unforeseen shift in internal party calculations, both viewed as remote given the public positions and separate slates already prepared.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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