**Trader sentiment for H200 rental prices at end-October 2026 clusters tightly around the $4–5.50 range because current neocloud on-demand medians sit near $4.26–$4.40 per GPU-hour, supported by steady demand for the chip’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth on memory-bound inference and large-model workloads.** Specialist providers continue to undercut hyperscalers by 50% or more, while B200 Blackwell capacity ramps and offers superior per-GPU throughput, creating downward pressure that offsets any near-term demand spikes. With only weeks until resolution and no major supply releases or regulatory shifts reported recently, the close probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether neocloud scaling or accelerated Blackwell migration will dominate the short-term balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 26%
$5.50+ 22.6%
$4.50-$5.00 23%
$5.00-$5.50 18%
$13,685 Vol.
$13,685 Vol.
<$3.50
8%
$3.50-$4.00
7%
$4.00-$4.50
26%
$4.50-$5.00
23%
$5.00-$5.50
18%
$5.50+
23%
$4.00-$4.50 26%
$5.50+ 22.6%
$4.50-$5.00 23%
$5.00-$5.50 18%
$13,685 Vol.
$13,685 Vol.
<$3.50
8%
$3.50-$4.00
7%
$4.00-$4.50
26%
$4.50-$5.00
23%
$5.00-$5.50
18%
$5.50+
23%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for H200 rental prices at end-October 2026 clusters tightly around the $4–5.50 range because current neocloud on-demand medians sit near $4.26–$4.40 per GPU-hour, supported by steady demand for the chip’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth on memory-bound inference and large-model workloads.** Specialist providers continue to undercut hyperscalers by 50% or more, while B200 Blackwell capacity ramps and offers superior per-GPU throughput, creating downward pressure that offsets any near-term demand spikes. With only weeks until resolution and no major supply releases or regulatory shifts reported recently, the close probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether neocloud scaling or accelerated Blackwell migration will dominate the short-term balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions