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Tech·Compute

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

icon for GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
Tech·Compute

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

$6.50+ 41%

$6.00-$6.50 24%

$5.00-$5.50 14.0%

$5.50-$6.00 10.0%

Polymarket

$18,326 Vol.

$6.50+ 41%

$6.00-$6.50 24%

$5.00-$5.50 14.0%

$5.50-$6.00 10.0%

Polymarket

$18,326 Vol.

<$4.50

$297 Vol.

8%

$4.50-$5.00

$361 Vol.

7%

$5.00-$5.50

$580 Vol.

14%

$5.50-$6.00

$1,382 Vol.

10%

$6.00-$6.50

$2,279 Vol.

24%

$6.50+

$13,428 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply constraints from HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging, combined with sustained AI training and inference demand, continue to support elevated B200 rental rates near current medians of $6.25–$6.40 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers. Recent data shows on-demand prices rising, with one benchmark reporting a $6.42 hourly rate up over 11% month-over-month as of early September. Hyperscaler listings remain significantly higher, while spot and marketplace tiers trade at discounts, widening the observed range. With production ramps ongoing but lead times and backlogs still limiting new capacity through late 2026, trader consensus favors stability or modest upside in the $6.00–$6.50+ bands by end of October.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$18,326
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent supply constraints from HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging, combined with sustained AI training and inference demand, continue to support elevated B200 rental rates near current medians of $6.25–$6.40 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers. Recent data shows on-demand prices rising, with one benchmark reporting a $6.42 hourly rate up over 11% month-over-month as of early September. Hyperscaler listings remain significantly higher, while spot and marketplace tiers trade at discounts, widening the observed range. With production ramps ongoing but lead times and backlogs still limiting new capacity through late 2026, trader consensus favors stability or modest upside in the $6.00–$6.50+ bands by end of October.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$18,326
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$6.50+" at 41%, followed by "$6.00-$6.50" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" is "$6.50+" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$6.00-$6.50" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.