**Persistent supply constraints in NVIDIA's Blackwell ecosystem and surging AI demand are anchoring trader expectations for B200 rental prices near $4.50–$6.00 per GPU-hour by end-2026.** Current on-demand rates already span $3.50 on marketplaces to over $14 at hyperscalers, reflecting tiered access and contract types, while HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging bottlenecks have kept capacity tight despite volume shipments since early 2025. Strong inference and training workloads have offset typical post-launch price erosion, with analysts noting limited relief until additional packaging and power capacity scale. Upcoming catalysts include the Vera Rubin architecture ramp in late 2026, potential B300 adoption, and any acceleration in neocloud supply or AMD competition, which could widen the spread if demand outpaces these factors or compress it if bottlenecks ease faster than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.50-$6.00 17%
$7.00+ 16%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 11.8%
$63,725 Vol.
$63,725 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
4%
$3.00-$3.50
5%
$3.50-$4.00
5%
$4.00-$4.50
7%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
12%
$5.50-$6.00
17%
$6.00-$6.50
5%
$6.50-$7.00
8%
$7.00+
16%
$5.50-$6.00 17%
$7.00+ 16%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 11.8%
$63,725 Vol.
$63,725 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$3.00
$3,041 Vol.
4%
$3.00-$3.50
$3,361 Vol.
5%
$3.50-$4.00
$3,834 Vol.
5%
$4.00-$4.50
$4,351 Vol.
7%
$4.50-$5.00
$10,505 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$8,197 Vol.
12%
$5.50-$6.00
$6,384 Vol.
17%
$6.00-$6.50
$11,904 Vol.
5%
$6.50-$7.00
$5,559 Vol.
8%
$7.00+
$6,590 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Persistent supply constraints in NVIDIA's Blackwell ecosystem and surging AI demand are anchoring trader expectations for B200 rental prices near $4.50–$6.00 per GPU-hour by end-2026.** Current on-demand rates already span $3.50 on marketplaces to over $14 at hyperscalers, reflecting tiered access and contract types, while HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging bottlenecks have kept capacity tight despite volume shipments since early 2025.
Strong inference and training workloads have offset typical post-launch price erosion, with analysts noting limited relief until additional packaging and power capacity scale. Upcoming catalysts include the Vera Rubin architecture ramp in late 2026, potential B300 adoption, and any acceleration in neocloud supply or AMD competition, which could widen the spread if demand outpaces these factors or compress it if bottlenecks ease faster than expected.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$63,725End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Persistent supply constraints in NVIDIA's Blackwell ecosystem and surging AI demand are anchoring trader expectations for B200 rental prices near $4.50–$6.00 per GPU-hour by end-2026.** Current on-demand rates already span $3.50 on marketplaces to over $14 at hyperscalers, reflecting tiered access and contract types, while HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging bottlenecks have kept capacity tight despite volume shipments since early 2025.
Strong inference and training workloads have offset typical post-launch price erosion, with analysts noting limited relief until additional packaging and power capacity scale. Upcoming catalysts include the Vera Rubin architecture ramp in late 2026, potential B300 adoption, and any acceleration in neocloud supply or AMD competition, which could widen the spread if demand outpaces these factors or compress it if bottlenecks ease faster than expected.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$63,725End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent supply constraints in NVIDIA's Blackwell ecosystem and surging AI demand are anchoring trader expectations for B200 rental prices near $4.50–$6.00 per GPU-hour by end-2026.** Current on-demand rates already span $3.50 on marketplaces to over $14 at hyperscalers, reflecting tiered access and contract types, while HBM3e memory and TSMC CoWoS packaging bottlenecks have kept capacity tight despite volume shipments since early 2025. Strong inference and training workloads have offset typical post-launch price erosion, with analysts noting limited relief until additional packaging and power capacity scale. Upcoming catalysts include the Vera Rubin architecture ramp in late 2026, potential B300 adoption, and any acceleration in neocloud supply or AMD competition, which could widen the spread if demand outpaces these factors or compress it if bottlenecks ease faster than expected.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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